Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Ramat Gan Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Bnei Sakhnin 1-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Bnei Sakhnin, 32% draw, 38% Hapoel Ramat Gan — fair odds of 3.33, 3.13 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Ramat Gan at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Line-ups
- 1R. BălbărăuG
- 2M. GantusD
- 5I. Abu AbaidD
- 4O. DahanD
- 92Saná GomesD
- 6A. TahaM
- 8M. VorobjovasM
- 10M. Anim CudjoeM
- 77A. SeferM
- 29A. SalmanM
- 24B. KhuriF
- 22M. Abu NilG
- 11J. BushnaqF
- 20M. GanameD
- 28I. HagagM
- 16L. HalafF
- 17Amit KaradiD
- 21M. Abu RiyaM
- 13L. OwusuD
- 7I. ShviroF
- 55Amit RaifG
- 66S. MijailovićD
- 5Jota GonçalvesD
- 4Márcio SilvaD
- 33F. IbrahimD
- 99Luan CamposM
- 6G. NaorM
- 21I. OliM
- 11D. AsankaM
- 10M. SemelF
- 9M. NoubissiF
- 20C. BonifaceM
- 28M. HozezF
- 17O. YitzhakD
- 7M. PlakushchenkoM
- 15N. SchwartzD
- 22A. YankoG
- 24T. GlazerM
- 3D. TischlerD
- 8I. BarnesF
Form going into Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Bnei Sakhnin
Ligat Ha'al
- L1-3away to Hapoel Haifa14 September 2026
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Ligat Ha'al
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
- 15 June 2020Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–3 Bnei SakhninLiga Leumit
- 14 February 2020Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–5 Bnei SakhninLiga Leumit
- 18 October 2019Bnei Sakhnin 2–0 Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
Leading scorers: Bnei Sakhnin and Hapoel Ramat Gan
Bnei Sakhnin
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
GoalsAssists
- Luan Campos31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bnei Sakhnin beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Ramat Gan at 38% and given a win for Bnei Sakhnin 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Leeroy Owusu 67' for Bnei Sakhnin.
How the call on Bnei Sakhnin v Hapoel Ramat Gan has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 32% / 37% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 30% / 32% / 38%: the biggest move is Hapoel Ramat Gan's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Bnei Sakhnin win30%▼ −2
- Draw32%▼ −5
- Hapoel Ramat Gan win38%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.