Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles FC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Los Angeles FC, 17% draw, 16% Sporting Kansas City — fair odds of 1.49, 5.88 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles FC at 67% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Hugo LlorisG
- 24Ryan HollingsheadD
- 5Ryan PorteousD
- 33Aaron LongD
- 23Yevhen CheberkoD
- 11Timothy TillmanM
- 66Mathieu ChoinièreM
- 8Mark DelgadoM
- 30David Martínez MoralesF
- 7Son Heung-minF
- 99Denis BouangaF
- 4Eddie SeguraD
- 22Jude TerryM
- 21Ryan RaposoM
- 19Tyler BoydF
- 17Jeremy EbobisseF
- 12Thomas HasalG
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 18Jacob ShaffelburgF
- 30Stefan ClevelandG
- 8Jacob DavisD
- 5Or BlorianD
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 18Emir KarićD
- 22Zorhan BassongM
- 4Lasse Berg JohnsenM
- 17Stephen AfrifaM
- 6Manu GarcíaM
- 11Calvin HarrisM
- 9Dejan JoveljićF
- 20Kwaku AgyabengM
- 93Shapi SuleymanovF
- 3Moises MosqueraD
- 1John PulskampG
- 23Ethan BartlowD
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 2Ian JamesD
- 99Jayden ReidD
- 16Jacob BartlettD
Form going into Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
Sporting Kansas City
- W2-1Minnesota United FC23 July 2026
- L2-3away to St. Louis City17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
- 26 July 2026Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 9 June 2025Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 26 September 2024Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup
- 10 March 2024Los Angeles FC 0–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga13 goals5 assists
Sporting Kansas City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.