Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles FC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Los Angeles FC, 17% draw, 16% Sporting Kansas City — fair odds of 1.49, 5.88 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles FC at 67% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Hugo LlorisG
- 24Ryan HollingsheadD
- 5Ryan PorteousD
- 33Aaron LongD
- 23Yevhen CheberkoD
- 11Timothy TillmanM
- 66Mathieu ChoinièreM
- 8Mark DelgadoM
- 30David Martínez MoralesF
- 7Son Heung-minF
- 99Denis BouangaF
- 4Eddie SeguraD
- 22Jude TerryM
- 21Ryan RaposoM
- 19Tyler BoydF
- 17Jeremy EbobisseF
- 12Thomas HasalG
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 18Jacob ShaffelburgF
- 30Stefan ClevelandG
- 8Jacob DavisD
- 5Or BlorianD
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 18Emir KarićD
- 22Zorhan BassongM
- 4Lasse Berg JohnsenM
- 17Stephen AfrifaM
- 6Manu GarcíaM
- 11Calvin HarrisM
- 9Dejan JoveljićF
- 20Kwaku AgyabengM
- 93Shapi SuleymanovF
- 3Moises MosqueraD
- 1John PulskampG
- 23Ethan BartlowD
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 2Ian JamesD
- 99Jayden ReidD
- 16Jacob BartlettD
Form going into Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
Sporting Kansas City
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Minnesota United FC23 July 2026
- L2-3away to St. Louis City17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 47 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 80 | -42 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
- 9 June 2025Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 26 September 2024Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup
- 10 March 2024Los Angeles FC 0–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Sporting Kansas City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Los Angeles FC beat Sporting Kansas City 4–0. The model had made a win for Los Angeles FC its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Son Heung-Min 5' for Los Angeles FC, D. Bouanga 37' for Los Angeles FC, D. Martinez 45+4' for Los Angeles FC, D. Bouanga 85' for Los Angeles FC. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.24.