St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: St. Louis City 1-0 Colorado Rapids.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% St. Louis City, 33% draw, 14% Colorado Rapids — fair odds of 1.89, 3.03 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts St. Louis City at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Roman BürkiG
- 99Jaziel OrozcoD
- 32Timo BaumgartlD
- 21Dante PolvaraD
- 6Conrad WallemM
- 8Christopher DurkinM
- 24Daniel EdelmanM
- 14Tomas TotlandM
- 77Jeong Sang-binF
- 11Simon BecherF
- 17Marcel HartelF
- 10Eduard LöwenM
- 7Tomáš OstrákM
- 29Palmer AultM
- 5Lukas MacNaughtonD
- 28Miguel PerezM
- 39Benjamin LundtG
- 27Fallou FallD
- 20Rafael SantosD
- 59Mykhi JoynerM
- 41Nicholas Defreitas-HansenG
- 4Reggie CannonD
- 22Lucas HerringtonD
- 6Rob HoldingD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 10Paxten AaronsonM
- 12Josh AtencioM
- 8Hamzat OjediranM
- 77Darren YapiF
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 7Dante SealyF
- 29Miguel NavarroD
- 24Noah CobbD
- 93Georgi MinoungouF
- 33Kosi ThompsonD
- 13Wayne FrederickM
- 31Adam BeaudryG
- 2Keegan RosenberryD
- 16Alex HarrisF
- 32Donavan PhillipF
Form going into St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Los Angeles Galaxy23 July 2026
- W3-2Sporting Kansas City17 July 2026
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- W1-0San Diego23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 43 | +1 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
- 10 May 2026Colorado Rapids 0–1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 25 May 2025Colorado Rapids 1–0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 23 February 2025St. Louis City 0–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 8 July 2024Colorado Rapids 4–1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 20 June 2024St. Louis City 0–3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
GoalsAssists
- Rafael Navarro196
Colorado Rapids
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
St. Louis City beat Colorado Rapids 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for St. Louis City at 53%. The goal: T. Ostrak 83' for St. Louis City. Sent off: R. Holding (Colorado Rapids) 12'. On expected goals it finished 1.03–0.11.