Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles FC 3-1 Real Salt Lake.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Los Angeles FC, 22% draw, 33% Real Salt Lake — fair odds of 2.22, 4.55 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles FC at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Hugo LlorisG
- 24Ryan HollingsheadD
- 5Ryan PorteousD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 23Yevhen CheberkoD
- 66Mathieu ChoinièreM
- 4Eddie SeguraM
- 8Mark DelgadoM
- 18Jacob ShaffelburgF
- 7Son Heung-minF
- 99Denis BouangaF
- 22Jude TerryM
- 30David Martínez MoralesF
- 17Jeremy EbobisseF
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 19Tyler BoydF
- 12Thomas HasalG
- 33Aaron LongD
- 40Sebastian NavaF
- 21Ryan RaposoM
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 2DeAndre YedlinD
- 26Philip QuintonD
- 4Lukas EngelD
- 72Zavier GozoM
- 6Stijn SpieringsM
- 92Noel CaliskanM
- 8Juan SanabriaM
- 10Diego LunaF
- 9Morgan GuilavoguiF
- 22Sergi SolansF
- 17Victor OlatunjiF
- 12Saba LobzhanidzeM
- 23Zach BoothM
- 27Griffin DillonM
- 98Alexandros KatranisD
- 31Mason StajduharG
- 29Sam JunquaD
- 21Juan Jose AriasD
- 7Pablo RuízM
Form going into Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
Real Salt Lake
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
- 22 September 2025Los Angeles FC 4–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 18 September 2025Real Salt Lake 1–4 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 18 July 2024Los Angeles FC 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 2 March 2024Real Salt Lake 3–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 2 October 2023Los Angeles FC 0–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans144
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Los Angeles FC beat Real Salt Lake 3–1. The model had made a win for Los Angeles FC its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Son Heung-Min 11' for Los Angeles FC, D. Bouanga 40' for Los Angeles FC, D. Yedlin (own goal) 68' for Los Angeles FC, L. Engel 86' for Real Salt Lake. On expected goals it finished 1.17–2.56.