Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sigma Olomouc 3-1 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Sigma Olomouc, 25% draw, 32% Pardubice — fair odds of 2.33, 4.00 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sigma Olomouc at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 91Jan KoutnýG
- 2Abdoulaye SyllaD
- 33Matúš MalýD
- 3Louis LurvinkD
- 70Abubakar GhaliM
- 88Péter BaráthM
- 7Michal BeranM
- 29Anton EkerothM
- 39Dominik JanošekF
- 10Václav SejkF
- 24David TkáčF
- 14Marko SoldoM
- 26Stéphane NoumbissieD
- 17John Paul DembeF
- 22Matěj HadašD
- 19Daniel BaratF
- 98Matúš HruškaG
- 20Dario GrgićM
- 8Jiří SpáčilM
- 6Jáchym ŠípM
- 46Vladimir NeumanG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 44Simon BammensD
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 6Marek IchaM
- 7Dominique SimonM
- 40Tobias BoledovicM
- 19Michal HlavatýF
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 9Daniel SmékalF
- 25Ryan MahutaD
- 99KahuanF
- 11Jiri ZimaM
- 77Robi SaarmaM
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 92Bohdan SlyubykD
- 27Martin ReilD
- 21Mouhamed Tidjane TraoréD
Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice
Sigma Olomouc
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Slovácko15 August 2026
- W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
- D2-2Mlada Boleslav2 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026
Pardubice
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Slavia Praha9 August 2026
- L0-2FK Jablonec2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové26 July 2026
What these results say
- Sigma Olomouc scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sigma Olomouc conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Sigma Olomouc had three goals or more.
- Pardubice did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Pardubice conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Pardubice scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice
- 12 April 2026Pardubice 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 9 November 2025Sigma Olomouc 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 15 February 2025Sigma Olomouc 4–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 4 December 2024Pardubice 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 30 March 2024Sigma Olomouc 0–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Pardubice
Sigma Olomouc
GoalsAssists
- V. Sejk63
- A. Ghali42
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sigma Olomouc beat Pardubice 3–1. The model had made a win for Sigma Olomouc its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Dominik Janošek 36' for Sigma Olomouc, Péter Baráth 54' for Sigma Olomouc, Abubakar Ghali 65' for Sigma Olomouc, Ryan Mahuta 88' for Pardubice. Sent off: Jan Trédl (Pardubice) 69'. On expected goals it finished 1.23–1.34.