23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge.

Before kick-off the model made it 76% Club Brugge KV, 13% draw, 11% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 1.32, 7.69 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Brugge KV at 76%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club Brugge KV96%Draw4%Cercle Brugge0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Tresoldiassist: C. Forbs
37'
64'
🔁G. Magneeout: T. Adaramola
🔁M. Diakhonout: F. Lemarechal
70'
🔁H. Vetlesenout: J. Virgili
70'
71'
•Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
76'
🔁D. Vanzeirout: K. Kouassi
77'
🔁S. Ngouraout: L. Michal
80'
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
87'
🔁V. Konateout: Erick Nunes
87'
🔁L. Mondeleout: L. Agyekum
🔁N. Tresoldiout: R. Vermant
89'

Match stats — Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

80%Possession20%
15Shots11
4On target4
9Corners4
1.83xG0.76

Goals against chances

Club Brugge KV1 from 1.83 xGless than the chances were worth
Cercle Brugge0 from 0.76 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club Brugge KV 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. SommerG
  • 64K. SabbeD
  • 3Lee Han-BeomD
  • 44B. MecheleD
  • 65J. SeysD
  • 8F. PottsM
  • 20H. VanakenM
  • 9C. ForbsM
  • 10H. VetlesenM
  • 67M. DiakhonM
  • 7N. TresoldiF
Substitutes
  • 29N. JackersG
  • 41H. SiquetD
  • 58J. SpileersD
  • 16C. TsawaM
  • 85T. N. Koren
  • 80F. LemarechalM
  • 17R. VermantF
  • 77A. VasovicF
  • 11J. VirgiliF
Coach: Ivan Leko
Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. CouckeG
  • 2I. DiakiteD
  • 66C. RavychD
  • 24G. KondoD
  • 15G. MagneeM
  • 42L. MondeleM
  • 19I. DiabyM
  • 12V. KonateM
  • 13D. VanzeirF
  • 71V. MartensF
  • 9S. NgouraF
Substitutes
  • 84B. LangenbickG
  • 45T. AdaramolaD
  • 5E. KakouD
  • 33R. CaicedoD
  • 10L. AmaniM
  • 8Erick NunesM
  • 6L. AgyekumM
  • 41K. KouassiF
  • 22L. MichalF
Coach: Lars Friis

Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

Club Brugge KV

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to OH Leuven15 August 2026
  • W3-0Kortrijk7 August 2026

Cercle Brugge

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3St. Truiden14 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Standard Liege8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Club Brugge KV11911279+1828
16Cercle Brugge112361422-89

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

  • 15 February 2026Cercle Brugge 1–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 9 August 2025Club Brugge KV 2–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 9 March 2025Cercle Brugge 1–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 1 September 2024Club Brugge KV 3–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 26 May 2024Club Brugge KV 0–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge

Club Brugge KV

GoalsAssists

  • N. Tresoldi81
  • H. Vetlesen51

Cercle Brugge

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Brugge KV beat Cercle Brugge 1–0. The model had made a win for Club Brugge KV its most likely outcome, at 76%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goal: N. Tresoldi 37' for Club Brugge KV. On expected goals it finished 1.83–0.76.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.