6 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Lincoln Red Imps FC, 20% draw, 59% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 4.76, 5.00 and 1.69.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Omonia Nicosia v Lincoln Red Imps FC, 13 Aug →

Omonia Nicosia went through 2–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Omonia Nicosia at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lincoln Red Imps FC93%Draw7%Omonia Nicosia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
Mateo Marić
63'
🔁M. Mayambelaout: M. Tankovic
63'
🔁L. Dionyout: A. Neofytou
Ayman El Ghobashy
66'
Manuel Toledano
67'
⚽C. Rutjensassist: F. Alvarez
71'
🔁N. Pintoout: A. Mula
72'
🔁T. Cardozoout: E. Jolley
77'
80'
🔁J. Montnorout: A. Chatzigiovanis
Joe
82'
🔁Y. Flalhi Idrissiout: L. Mason
85'
🔁A. El Ghobashyout: E. Britto
85'
Leon Mason
89'
Jaylan Hankins
90+4'
90+4'
Jure Balkovec
90'
⚽P. Andreou

Match stats — Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

44%Possession56%
2On target6
7Corners2

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-1-4-1
  • 13J. Hankins
  • 5T. CardozoD
  • 6B. LopesD
  • 3C. RutjensD
  • 66J. EerstelingD
  • 23JoeM
  • 44M. ToledanoF
  • 19Y. Flalhi IdrissiF
  • 32F. AlvarezF
  • 4N. Pinto
  • 99A. El Ghobashy
Substitutes
  • 1Nauzet SantanaG
  • 27M. HammG
  • 2E. JolleyD
  • 9K. GomezF
  • 10A. MulaM
  • 16L. MasonM
  • 20E. BrittoD
  • 21NanoM
  • 22G. TorrillaM
Coach: Juan Bezares
Omonia Nicosia 4-3-3
  • 40Fabiano FreitasG
  • 82A. Christou
  • 27S. SimicD
  • 30N. PanagiotouD
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 14M. MaricM
  • 21M. MayambelaM
  • 99L. DionyF
  • 7J. MontnorM
Substitutes
  • 23F. UzohoG
  • 78P. MichailG
  • 10A. ChatzigiovanisM
  • 22M. TankovicM
  • 31I. KousoulosM
  • 85A. NeofytouF
  • 88C. EvangelouF
  • 90C. KonstantinidisD
  • 91K. PanagiF
Coach: Henning Berg

Form going into Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps FC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Mjallby AIF21 July 2026

Omonia Nicosia

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Kairat Almaty29 July 2026
  • W1-0Kairat Almaty22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
22Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference League310236-33
18Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League420267-16

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · UEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps FC

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Omonia Nicosia

GoalsAssists

  • L. Diony50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Omonia Nicosia at 59% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: C. Rutjens 71' for Lincoln Red Imps FC, P. Andreou 90' for Omonia Nicosia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.