18 July 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Full time0 – 3

Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 Los Angeles FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Los Angeles Galaxy, 25% draw, 42% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Los Angeles FC at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁E. Thommyout: H. Miller
22'
26'
⚽M. Delgado
Edwin Cerrillo
34'
Jakob Glesnes
45+2'
45'
⚽D. Bouanga (pen)
57'
⚽Son Heung-Minassist: M. Delgado
🔁M. Yamaneout: R. Taylor
65'
🔁J. Nelsonout: J. Aude
65'
🔁E. Cerrilloout: C. Garces
65'
66'
🔁J. Shaffelburgout: D. Martinez
75'
🔁Y. Cheberkoout: K. Nielsen
76'
🔁Son Heung-Minout: T. Boyd
Harbor Miller
80'
🔁J. Paintsilout: R. Ramos
81'
85'
🔁M. Choiniereout: J. Terry
85'
🔁D. Bouangaout: J. Ebobisse

Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC

59%Possession41%
10Shots13
2On target5
9Corners3
1xG2.29

Goals against chances

Los Angeles Galaxy0 from 1.00 xGless than the chances were worth
Los Angeles FC3 from 2.29 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
  • 1N. MicovicG
  • 2M. YamaneD
  • 5J. GlesnesD
  • 15J. HaakD
  • 14J. NelsonD
  • 8L. SanabriaM
  • 6E. CerrilloM
  • 22E. WynderM
  • 28J. PaintsilF
  • 18M. ReusF
  • 27E. ThommyF
Substitutes
  • 12J. MarcinkowskiG
  • 4M. YoshidaD
  • 16I. ParenteM
  • 24R. RamosF
  • 26H. MillerD
  • 21R. TaylorM
  • 3J. AudeD
  • 25C. GarcesD
  • 20C. RindovD
Coach: Greg Vanney
Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
  • 1H. LlorisG
  • 24R. HollingsheadD
  • 5R. PorteousD
  • 33A. LongD
  • 23Y. CheberkoD
  • 66M. ChoiniereM
  • 4E. SeguraM
  • 8M. DelgadoM
  • 18J. ShaffelburgF
  • 7Son Heung-MinF
  • 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
  • 12T. HasalG
  • 19T. BoydF
  • 21R. RaposoM
  • 40S. NavaF
  • 30D. MartinezF
  • 45K. NielsenD
  • 22J. TerryM
  • 17J. EbobisseF
  • 91Nkosi TafariD
Coach: Marc Dos Santos

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Los Angeles Galaxy321011114554-941
6Los Angeles FC32121195035+1547

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC

  • 20 July 2025Los Angeles FC 3–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 19 May 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 15 September 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 4–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 5 July 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 6 April 2024Los Angeles FC 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles Galaxy

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 45 league goals as a side.

Los Angeles FC

GoalsAssists

  • D. Bouanga185

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.