Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Los Angeles Galaxy, 25% draw, 42% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles FC at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. MicovicG
- 2M. YamaneD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 15J. HaakD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 6E. CerrilloM
- 22E. WynderM
- 28J. PaintsilF
- 18M. ReusF
- 27E. ThommyF
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 24R. RamosF
- 26H. MillerD
- 21R. TaylorM
- 3J. AudeD
- 25C. GarcesD
- 20C. RindovD
- 1H. LlorisG
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 33A. LongD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 66M. ChoiniereM
- 4E. SeguraM
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 18J. ShaffelburgF
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 99D. BouangaF
- 12T. HasalG
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 40S. NavaF
- 30D. MartinezF
- 45K. NielsenD
- 22J. TerryM
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 91Nkosi TafariD
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
- 18 July 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 0–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 20 July 2025Los Angeles FC 3–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 19 May 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 15 September 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 4–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 6 April 2024Los Angeles FC 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga13 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.