Liga MX · Apertura - 3 · 1 August 2026, 23:00 UTC

Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

Estadio La Corregidora

The model makes it 44% Club Queretaro, 28% draw, 28% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Club Queretaro 1.40, Tigres UANL 1.05.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

50%
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 11%0-0 9%

Head-to-head: Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

  • 15 March 2026Tigres UANL 0–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
  • 28 September 2025Club Queretaro 0–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 8 March 2025Tigres UANL 1–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
  • 18 September 2024Club Queretaro 1–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 29 January 2024Club Queretaro 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 3 September 2023Tigres UANL 5–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Club Queretaro the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.4 expected goals for Club Queretaro against 1.05 for Tigres UANL. Club Queretaro's attack/defence rating is 0.89/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/0.83 for Tigres UANL.