13 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Legia Warszawa 1-1 Widzew Łódź.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Legia Warszawa, 29% draw, 27% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Legia Warszawa at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Rafał Augustyniakassist: Rúben Vinagre
19'
21'
⚽Kamil Piątkowski (OG)
44'
Karol Świderski
55'
mariusz fornalczyk
🔁Mateusz Szczepaniakout: Rafal Adamski
62'
65'
🔁Fran Alvarezout: Dani Silva
65'
🔁Marcel Krajewskiout: Mateusz Żyro
🔁Michal Sevcikout: Jakub Zewlakow
73'
🔁Jan Kuchtaout: Bogdan V'Yunnik
74'
74'
🔁Karol Świderskiout: Sebastian Bergier
🔁Bartosz Kapustkaout: Damian Szymański
74'
84'
🔁Stipe Biukout: Antoni Klukowski
🔁Kamil Piątkowskiout: Arkadiusz Reca
88'
Rúben Vinagre
90+4'
90+4'
Antoni Klukowski

Match stats — Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź

50%Possession50%
15Shots12
3On target2
4Corners5

Line-ups

Legia Warszawa 3-4-3
  • 89O. HindrichG
  • 91K. PiątkowskiD
  • 8R. AugustyniakD
  • 5Robert DezielD
  • 22P. WszołekM
  • 53W. UrbańskiM
  • 67B. KapustkaM
  • 19Rúben VinagreM
  • 23M. ŠevčíkF
  • 7J. KuchtaF
  • 17M. SzczepaniakF
Substitutes
  • 1I. BrkićG
  • 24Z. ArsenićD
  • 9R. AdamskiF
  • 11K. ChodynaM
  • 13A. RecaD
  • 6Henrique ArreiolM
  • 4D. SzymańskiM
  • 27Bogdan V'YunnikF
  • 79Ł. ZjawińskiF
Coach: M. Papszun
Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1
  • 1B. DrągowskiG
  • 91M. KrajewskiD
  • 25P. WiśniewskiD
  • 3S. KapuadiD
  • 40Mario GarcíaD
  • 5G. PapanikolaouM
  • 79S. BiukM
  • 10Fran ÁlvarezM
  • 8E. KornvigM
  • 7M. FornalczykM
  • 28K. ŚwiderskiF
Substitutes
  • 4M. ŻyroD
  • 14VisusD
  • 90Ioan VermeșanF
  • 18L. SelahiM
  • 20A. KlukowskiM
  • 30V. IlićG
  • 99S. BergierF
  • 80Dani SilvaM
Coach: M. Stolarski

Form going into Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź

Legia Warszawa

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Motor Lublin5 September 2026
  • D1-1Slask Wroclaw28 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Piast Gliwice22 August 2026
  • W5-0Radomiak Radom14 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Korona Kielce8 August 2026

Widzew Łódź

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Radomiak Radom5 September 2026
  • L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026
  • L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Jagiellonia9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Legia Warszawa went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Legia Warszawa scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Legia Warszawa conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Widzew Łódź failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Widzew Łódź scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Legia Warszawa126512311+1223
14Widzew Łódź121831516-111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź

  • 1 May 2026Legia Warszawa 1–0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 2 November 2025Widzew Łódź 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
  • 15 May 2025Widzew Łódź 0–2 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
  • 3 November 2024Legia Warszawa 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 12 July 2024Legia Warszawa 2–1 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź

Legia Warszawa

GoalsAssists

  • R. Adamski40
  • Ł. Zjawiński40

Widzew Łódź

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Legia Warszawa at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Rafał Augustyniak 19' for Legia Warszawa, Kamil Piątkowski (own goal) 21' for Widzew Łódź.

How the call on Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Legia Warszawa's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Legia Warszawa win44%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%▲ +2
  3. Widzew Łódź win27%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.