Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Piast Gliwice.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Radomiak Radom, 29% draw, 33% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radomiak Radom at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Line-ups
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Z. OuattaraD
- 3K. SzcześniakD
- 72F. KoperskiD
- 13J. GrzesikD
- 77C. DonisM
- 90Ronaldo AfonsoM
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 15A. TapsobaM
- 80Guilherme LuizF
- 28Romário BaróM
- 8I. CamaráM
- 26Adrián DiéguezD
- 11F. GouréF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 23K. KarasekM
- 47S. KilianekD
- 14S. KingueD
- 18ManuF
- 75D. GrilG
- 99E. TwumasiD
- 5Juande RivasD
- 4J. CzerwińskiD
- 36J. LewickiD
- 90Ivan LimaM
- 27J. ŁabojkoM
- 17Q. BoisgardM
- 80Hugo VallejoM
- 11Leandro SancaF
- 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
- 28F. BorowskiD
- 15L. PitanD
- 77S. MuchaM
- 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
- 18O. MaziarzM
- 98J. LokiloF
- 31O. LeśniakM
- 10A. KatsantonisF
- 47J. GrelichG
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Widzew Łódź5 September 2026
- W2-1Cracovia Krakow29 August 2026
- D0-0Zaglebie Lubin23 August 2026
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
Piast Gliwice
All competitions we cover
- W3-0GKS Katowice4 September 2026
- W2-0away to Motor Lublin29 August 2026
- D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026
- L3-4Wieczysta Kraków15 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lech Poznan9 August 2026
What these results say
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Piast Gliwice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
- 20 March 2026Piast Gliwice 3–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 20 September 2025Radomiak Radom 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 4 May 2025Piast Gliwice 0–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 3 November 2024Radomiak Radom 1–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 8 March 2024Piast Gliwice 2–3 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Piast Gliwice
GoalsAssists
- Hugo Vallejo50
- Leandro Sanca41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Piast Gliwice won 2–0 at Radomiak Radom. The model had leaned towards a win for Radomiak Radom at 38% and given a win for Piast Gliwice 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Hugo Vallejo 45+1' for Piast Gliwice, Jakub Labojko (penalty) 67' for Piast Gliwice.
How the call on Radomiak Radom v Piast Gliwice has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Radomiak Radom's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Radomiak Radom win38%▼ −4
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Piast Gliwice win33%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.