Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Saint Etienne 3-1 Clermont Foot.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Saint Etienne, 24% draw, 61% Clermont Foot — fair odds of 6.67, 4.17 and 1.64.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Clermont Foot at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
Line-ups
- 30G. LarsonneurG
- 13J. FerreiraD
- 26J. Le CardinalD
- 18S. NairD
- 23K. PedroD
- 6M. BernauerM
- 14A. CsongvaiM
- 20A. BoakyeM
- 10J. BreumM
- 8T. BalloM
- 7I. CardonaF
- 1M. NdiayeG
- 2S. StojkovicD
- 37N. KasiaD
- 16T. SvetlinM
- 32A. BaallalM
- 17J. DuffusF
- 9L. StassinF
- 22Z. DavitashviliF
- 30T. GuivarchG
- 28I. M'BahiaD
- 21Y. SalmierD
- 4E. KabeyaD
- 12V. NsimbaD
- 19M. BouchennaM
- 5J. GrillotM
- 2A. BaallalM
- 6E. H. KoneM
- 23A. HunouF
- 90C. OkouF
- 16M. N'DiayeG
- 10J. SambiaD
- 15C. KonateD
- 93I. CoulibalyD
- 44A. AckraM
- 13J. AsticM
- 11M. DouaneF
- 17O. DiopF
- 29A. SaintorensF
Form going into Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Sochaux8 August 2026
Clermont Foot
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Reims8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
- 17 January 2026Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 13 September 2025Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 20 July 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
- 22 July 2023Saint Etienne 2–0 Clermont FootFriendlies Clubs
- 13 February 2022Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1
- 7 November 2021Saint Etienne 3–2 Clermont FootLigue 1
Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
GoalsAssists
- I. Cardona65
- A. Boakye63
- T. Ballo52
Clermont Foot
GoalsAssists
- F. Bianchini41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Saint Etienne beat Clermont Foot 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Clermont Foot at 61% and given a win for Saint Etienne 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: I. Cardona 41' for Saint Etienne, T. Ballo 54' for Saint Etienne, J. Breum 71' for Saint Etienne, O. Diop 89' for Clermont Foot.