Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

Lausanne vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result

Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Lausanne 0-1 Servette FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Lausanne, 32% draw, 32% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.78, 3.13 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Lausanne 1.07, Servette FC 0.96.

Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%, under 2.5: 67%.

Model confidence: Low.

Published · updated

Model insights: Lausanne vs Servette FC

41%
Both teams to score
33%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 14%0-0 14%1-0 13%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lausanne at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lausanne0%Draw4%Servette FC96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Levy Nene
11'
16'
Kingstone Mutandwa
50'
•Miroslav Stevanović
52'
⚽Kingstone Mutandwa (pen)
🔁Theo Bergvallout: Ibrahim Bah Mendes
60'
🔁Koba Koindrediout: Florent Mollet
60'
75'
🔁David Datro Fofanaout: Jesper Karlsson
75'
🔁Quentin Maceirasout: Houboulang Mendes
75'
🔁Mathis Lambourdeout: Tiemoko Ouattara
🔁Nicolas Cozzaout: Dircssi Ngonzo
75'
🔁Levy Neneout: Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
75'
🔁Étienne Youte Kinkoueout: Hamza Abdallah
83'
84'
Pedrinho
85'
🔁Miroslav Stevanovićout: Jarell Simo

Match stats — Lausanne vs Servette FC

59%Possession41%
18Shots10
4On target4
12Corners2

Line-ups

Lausanne 3-4-2-1
  • 90M. MastilG
  • 4É. YoutéD
  • 71K. SowD
  • 31N. CozzaD
  • 6T. BergvallM
  • 88K. KoindrediM
  • 80S. KonéM
  • 18M. PoatyM
  • 77L. NeneM
  • 9E. MolébéM
  • 78Omar JannehF
Substitutes
  • 20Hamza AbdallahD
  • 7A. AjdiniF
  • 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
  • 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
  • 1T. CastellaG
  • 91F. MolletM
  • 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
  • 5D. NgonzoD
  • 17S. TraoreF
Coach: Luka Elsner
Servette FC 4-4-2
  • 1E. GertmonasG
  • 23Q. MaceirasD
  • 4S. RouillerD
  • 15M. BurchD
  • 18B. MazikouD
  • 9M. StevanovićM
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 28D. DoulineM
  • 22M. LambourdeM
  • 27D. FofanaF
  • 7K. MutandwaF
Substitutes
  • 44Louis RiederG
  • 77T. OuattaraF
  • 14L. NjohD
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 36Thomas LopesM
  • 21J. KarlssonF
  • 42Ivan IzquierdoM
  • 34T. AllixD
  • 20Jarell Njike SimoM
Coach: J. Gourvennec

Form going into Lausanne vs Servette FC

Lausanne

  • L1-3away to FC Vaduz5 September 2026
  • D0-0away to FC Thun2 September 2026
  • L2-3FC Zurich29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Luzern22 August 2026

Servette FC

  • L0-2FC St. Gallen6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Lugano3 September 2026
  • D1-1FC Luzern29 August 2026
  • W2-1Grasshoppers8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Lausanne8134711-46
9Servette FC721458-37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lausanne vs Servette FC

  • 13 September 2026Lausanne 0–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 12 May 2026Servette FC 2–0 LausanneSuper League
  • 15 February 2026Lausanne 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
  • 14 January 2026Servette FC 0–1 LausanneSuper League
  • 29 October 2025Lausanne 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
  • 24 May 2025Servette FC 3–3 LausanneSuper League

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.07 goals for Lausanne and 0.96 for Servette FC; the game produced 0 and 1.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Kingstone Mutandwa 52' (Servette FC).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Lausanne the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Lausanne against 0.96 for Servette FC. Lausanne's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.37 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.26 for Servette FC.