Lausanne vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 0-1 Servette FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Lausanne, 32% draw, 30% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lausanne at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs Servette FC
Line-ups
- 90M. MastilG
- 4É. YoutéD
- 71K. SowD
- 31N. CozzaD
- 6T. BergvallM
- 88K. KoindrediM
- 80S. KonéM
- 18M. PoatyM
- 77L. NeneM
- 9E. MolébéM
- 78Omar JannehF
- 20Hamza AbdallahD
- 7A. AjdiniF
- 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
- 1T. CastellaG
- 91F. MolletM
- 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 17S. TraoreF
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 4S. RouillerD
- 15M. BurchD
- 18B. MazikouD
- 9M. StevanovićM
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 28D. DoulineM
- 22M. LambourdeM
- 27D. FofanaF
- 7K. MutandwaF
- 44Louis RiederG
- 77T. OuattaraF
- 14L. NjohD
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 36Thomas LopesM
- 21J. KarlssonF
- 42Ivan IzquierdoM
- 34T. AllixD
- 20Jarell Njike SimoM
Form going into Lausanne vs Servette FC
Lausanne
Super League
- L1-3away to FC Vaduz5 September 2026
Servette FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-2FC St. Gallen6 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Lugano3 September 2026
- D1-1FC Luzern29 August 2026
- W2-1Grasshoppers8 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Zurich1 August 2026
What these results say
- Servette FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Servette FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs Servette FC
- 12 May 2026Servette FC 2–0 LausanneSuper League
- 15 February 2026Lausanne 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
- 14 January 2026Servette FC 0–1 LausanneSuper League
- 29 October 2025Lausanne 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
- 24 May 2025Servette FC 3–3 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: Lausanne and Servette FC
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Servette FC won 1–0 at Lausanne. The model had leaned towards a win for Lausanne at 38% and given a win for Servette FC 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Kingstone Mutandwa (penalty) 52' for Servette FC.
How the call on Lausanne v Servette FC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 32% / 30%: the biggest move is Servette FC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Lausanne win38%=
- Draw32%▲ +2
- Servette FC win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.