13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Zurich 2-1 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Zurich, 27% draw, 33% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Zurich at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Zurich5%Draw91%FC Vaduz4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Marcel Monsbergerassist: Nicolas Hasler
🔁Damienus Reversonout: Kevin Spadanuda
30'
🔁Bledian Krasniqiout: Valon Berisha
45'
⚽Philippe Paulin Kenyassist: Umeh Emmanuel
55'
62'
🔁Milos Cocicout: Mattia walker
62'
🔁Marcel Monsbergerout: Dejan Djokic
72'
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Daniel Kasper
77'
Dominik Schwizer
82'
🔁Luca Mackout: Mats Hammerich
82'
🔁Julian Starkout: mischa beeli
87'
Mattia walker
⚽Umeh Emmanuelassist: Livano Comenencia
90+2'

Match stats — FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

35%Possession65%
17Shots11
6On target3
7Corners2

Line-ups

FC Zurich 4-4-2
  • 1Silas HuberG
  • 47Doron LichtensteinD
  • 2L. KamberiD
  • 21L. SchodlerD
  • 43N. VolkenD
  • 8L. ComenenciaM
  • 38M. ReichmuthM
  • 7B. KrasniqiM
  • 11U. EmmanuelM
  • 29D. ReversonF
  • 19P. KenyF
Substitutes
  • 4J. SeguraD
  • 46J. StielM
  • 18M. BangouraM
  • 23V. BerishaM
  • 14N. Di GiustoM
  • 6C. FioriniM
  • 13H. LindnerG
  • 49D. RamićF
  • 17K. SpadanudaM
Coach: M. Koller
FC Vaduz 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 20L. MackM
  • 11L. DalipiM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 37L. CelentanoD
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 38N. FollmiG
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 18D. KasperF
  • 27N. LangD
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
Coach: M. Schneider

Form going into FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

FC Zurich

Super League

  • D2-2away to Grasshoppers5 September 2026

FC Vaduz

Super League

  • W3-1Lausanne5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Zurich115242023-317
10FC Vaduz113082223-19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

  • 11 October 2024FC Zurich 2–2 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 July 2021FC Vaduz 0–0 FC ZurichFriendlies Clubs
  • 21 May 2021FC Zurich 4–1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 6 February 2021FC Vaduz 3–2 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 27 January 2021FC Zurich 0–1 FC VaduzSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Zurich and FC Vaduz

FC Zurich

GoalsAssists

  • P. Keny51
  • U. Emmanuel43

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Zurich beat FC Vaduz 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Zurich at 40%. The goals: Marcel Monsberger 13' for FC Vaduz, Philippe Paulin Keny 55' for FC Zurich, Umeh Emmanuel 90+2' for FC Zurich.

How the call on FC Zurich v FC Vaduz has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 27% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 27% / 33%: the biggest move is FC Zurich's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. FC Zurich win40%▼ −3
  2. Draw27%=
  3. FC Vaduz win33%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.