Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Zurich 2-1 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Zurich, 28% draw, 30% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: FC Zurich 1.78, FC Vaduz 1.30.

Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

Model insights: FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

61%
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 9%1-0 8%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Zurich at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Zurich5%Draw91%FC Vaduz4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Marcel Monsbergerassist: Nicolas Hasler
🔁Damienus Reversonout: Kevin Spadanuda
30'
🔁Bledian Krasniqiout: Valon Berisha
45'
⚽Philippe Paulin Kenyassist: Umeh Emmanuel
55'
62'
🔁Milos Cocicout: Mattia walker
62'
🔁Marcel Monsbergerout: Dejan Djokic
72'
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Daniel Kasper
77'
Dominik Schwizer
82'
🔁Luca Mackout: Mats Hammerich
82'
🔁Julian Starkout: mischa beeli
87'
Mattia walker
⚽Umeh Emmanuelassist: Livano Comenencia
90+2'

Match stats — FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

35%Possession65%
17Shots11
6On target3
7Corners2

Line-ups

FC Zurich 4-4-2
  • 1Silas HuberG
  • 47Doron LichtensteinD
  • 2L. KamberiD
  • 21L. SchodlerD
  • 43N. VolkenD
  • 8L. ComenenciaM
  • 38M. ReichmuthM
  • 7B. KrasniqiM
  • 11U. EmmanuelM
  • 29D. ReversonF
  • 19P. KenyF
Substitutes
  • 4J. SeguraD
  • 46J. StielM
  • 18M. BangouraM
  • 23V. BerishaM
  • 14N. Di GiustoM
  • 6C. FioriniM
  • 13H. LindnerG
  • 49D. RamićF
  • 17K. SpadanudaM
Coach: M. Koller
FC Vaduz 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 20L. MackM
  • 11L. DalipiM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 37L. CelentanoD
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 38N. FollmiG
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 18D. KasperF
  • 27N. LangD
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
Coach: M. Schneider

Form going into FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

FC Zurich

  • D2-2away to Grasshoppers5 September 2026
  • L2-4BSC Young Boys1 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Lausanne29 August 2026
  • L1-2FC Basel 189322 August 2026

FC Vaduz

  • W3-1Lausanne5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Luzern2 September 2026
  • W5-2Grasshoppers30 August 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC Zurich83141319-610
11FC Vaduz82061719-26

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

  • 13 September 2026FC Zurich 2–1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 11 October 2024FC Zurich 2–2 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 July 2021FC Vaduz 0–0 FC ZurichFriendlies Clubs
  • 21 May 2021FC Zurich 4–1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 6 February 2021FC Vaduz 3–2 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 27 January 2021FC Zurich 0–1 FC VaduzSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Zurich and FC Vaduz

FC Zurich

  • U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists

FC Vaduz

  • Juan Cabrera4 goals
  • L. Dalipi3 goals7 assists
  • M. Monsberger3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.78 goals for FC Zurich and 1.30 for FC Vaduz; the game produced 2 and 1.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Marcel Monsberger 13' (FC Vaduz), Philippe Paulin Keny 55' (FC Zurich), Umeh Emmanuel 90' (FC Zurich).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Zurich the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for FC Zurich against 1.3 for FC Vaduz. FC Zurich's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.61 for FC Vaduz.