13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd Super Liga prediction & result

Full time3 – 1

Final score: Radnicki NIS 3-1 OFK Beograd.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Radnicki NIS, 28% draw, 32% OFK Beograd — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Radnicki NIS at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radnicki NIS99%Draw1%OFK Beograd0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ibrahim·Mustaphaassist: Damjan Krajisnik
7'
32'
Uroš Stojanović
Luka Izderic
41'
45'
🔁mamadou fallout: Leon Ivanović
45'
🔁Ethan Hoardout: Dognimani Yacouba Silue
50'
•Tjay De Barr
52'
⚽Sergio Peña (pen)
⚽Luka Izderic
61'
Stefan Veličković
66'
67'
🔁Tayrell·Wouterout: J. Šljivić
🔁Luka Izdericout: Luka Borovic
67'
Radomir Milosavljević
73'
Luka Borovic
73'
🔁Vukasin jovanovicout: stefan nikolic
75'
🔁Milos Spasicout: A. Shestyuk
75'
🔁Ibrahim·Mustaphaout: Igor Ivanović
75'
77'
🔁hameed aderojuout: Đ. Ranković
⚽A. Shestyukassist: stefan nikolic
80'
82'
🔁Tjay De Barrout: A. Vasilić

Match stats — Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd

46%Possession54%
13Shots8
7On target2
3Corners2

Line-ups

Radnicki NIS 4-2-3-1
  • 12I. KostićG
  • 18S. VeličkovićD
  • 4U. VitasD
  • 3R. JokićD
  • 25B. KovačevićD
  • 22R. MilosavljevićM
  • 15D. KrajišnikM
  • 97M. SpasićM
  • 89Luka IzdericM
  • 23I. MustaphaM
  • 42V. JovanovićF
Substitutes
  • 5N. ZečevićD
  • 20A. VidovićD
  • 94D. StanivukovićG
  • 9A. ShestyukF
  • 71D. PetrovićD
  • 70Stefan NikolicM
  • 2M. MijailovićD
  • 6F. KanoutéM
  • 11I. IvanovićF
Coach: M. Nedic
OFK Beograd 3-4-2-1
  • 31Vuk DraškićG
  • 4A. PavlovicD
  • 17M. BešićD
  • 26M. FallD
  • 27H. AderojuM
  • 6S. PeñaM
  • 3E. AddoM
  • 24U. StojanovićM
  • 11T. De BarrM
  • 7T. WouterM
  • 9Ethan HoardF
Substitutes
  • 77M. GobeljićD
  • 14M. MomčilovićM
  • 23M. RodićD
  • 20J. ŠljivićM
  • 97N. StojišićG
  • 18H. TouréD
  • 16L. IvanovicD
  • 19D. RankovicM
  • 42Y. SilueF
Coach: J. Damjanović

Form going into Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd

Radnicki NIS

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Mladost Lucani5 September 2026
  • D1-1Radnicki 192329 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Macva22 August 2026
  • D0-0away to IMT Novi Beograd16 August 2026

OFK Beograd

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1IMT Novi Beograd7 September 2026
  • L1-3away to FK Partizan31 August 2026
  • W1-0Zemun22 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Cukaricki15 August 2026
  • D2-2Železničar Pančevo9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Radnicki NIS did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Radnicki NIS had two goals or fewer.
  • Radnicki NIS failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • OFK Beograd failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • OFK Beograd scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • OFK Beograd conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Radnicki NIS13229923-148
11OFK Beograd132561423-911

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd

  • 3 April 2026Radnicki NIS 1–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 3 November 2025OFK Beograd 0–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 2 March 2025OFK Beograd 2–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 4 October 2024Radnicki NIS 1–1 OFK BeogradSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Radnicki NIS and OFK Beograd

Radnicki NIS

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

OFK Beograd

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Silue70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnicki NIS beat OFK Beograd 3–1. The model had made a win for Radnicki NIS its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ibrahim·Mustapha 7' for Radnicki NIS, Sergio Peña (penalty) 52' for OFK Beograd, Luka Izderic 61' for Radnicki NIS, A. Shestyuk 80' for Radnicki NIS.

How the call on Radnicki NIS v OFK Beograd has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 31% / 28% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 40% / 28% / 32%: the biggest move is Radnicki NIS's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Radnicki NIS win40%▲ +9
  2. Draw28%=
  3. OFK Beograd win32%▼ −9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.