Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Hapoel Petah Tikva, 32% draw, 39% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 3.45, 3.13 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Line-ups
- 1O. KatzG
- 12S. IsraeliD
- 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
- 4D. ArroyoD
- 72Y. NassarD
- 2A. CohenM
- 29B. GontranM
- 6Etai EhudM
- 16R. DavidM
- 77CléF
- 26K. KimvuidiF
- 34Omri CohenF
- 14E. AsanteM
- 8T. AltmanM
- 28Noam CohenM
- 11H. KeytaF
- 18A. MashiahG
- 7S. MazalF
- 66M. MeirD
- 3H. ShalomD
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 27Y. StoyanovD
- 44D. DiopD
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 23I. AzutM
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 90A. UgarrizaF
- 70João VictorF
- 66I. ZlatanovićF
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 20J. EastF
- 11A. GanahF
- 8M. Kna'anF
- 4M. VítorD
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 34M. WolffG
Form going into Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa5 September 2026
- W1-0Hapoel Jerusalem29 August 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva
All competitions we cover
- L1-4Maccabi Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Hapoel Ramat Gan29 August 2026
- L2-5away to Sabah FA25 August 2026
- W2-1Sabah FA19 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Hapoel Beer Sheva had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 4 |
| 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
GoalsAssists
- I. Zlatanović40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Beer Sheva won 2–0 at Hapoel Petah Tikva. The model had made a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mohamad Abu Rumi 53' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Hamode Kanaan 57' for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.