21 July 2026

Sabah FA vs KuPS UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Sabah FA 1-0 KuPS.

Before kick-off the model made it 14% Sabah FA, 19% draw, 67% KuPS — fair odds of 7.14, 5.26 and 1.49. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: KuPS v Sabah FA, 28 Jul →

Sabah FA went through 3–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KuPS at 67% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•U. Rakhmonaliyev
33'
⚽V. Simicassist: I. Lepinjica
45+1'
46'
🔁G. Engvallout: S. Touray
47'
T. Jyry
K. Parris
49'
61'
🔁P. Parzyszekout: J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
61'
🔁B. Armahout: J. Luyeye-Lutumba
🔁K. Parrisout: X. Severina
66'
🔁A. Isayevout: O. Mbina
66'
68'
🔁C. Antwiout: T. Hamalainen
77'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
82'
🔁V. R. Gascout: N. Kujasalo

Line-ups

Sabah FA 4-2-3-1
  • 92Stas PokatilovG
  • 80Akim ZedadkaD
  • 3Steve SolvetD
  • 5Rahman DashdamirovD
  • 27Tymoteusz PuchaczD
  • 13Ivan LepinjicaM
  • 7Umarali RakhmonalievM
  • 11Kaheem ParrisM
  • 10Aleksey IsayevM
  • 21Veljko SimićM
  • 20Joy Lance MickelsF
Substitutes
  • 34Xander SeverinaM
  • 94Ravan MirzammadovG
  • 1Amin RamazanovG
  • 4Aden McCarthyD
  • 33Júnior AlmeidaD
  • 17Tellur MutallimovD
  • 6Abdulakh KhaybulaevM
  • 16Rauf RustamliM
  • 88Rodrigo FernandesM
Coach: Valdas Dambrauskas
KuPS 4-2-2-2
  • 1Johannes KreidlG
  • 29Akseli PuukkoD
  • 28Brahima MagassaD
  • 4Kasim AdamsD
  • 25Clinton AntwiD
  • 10Valentín GascM
  • 8Petteri PennanenM
  • 16Tommi JyryM
  • 24Bob Nii ArmahD
  • 20Piotr ParzyszekF
  • 9Gustav EngvallF
Substitutes
  • 22Saikou TourayM
  • 21Joslyn Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 11Jaime MorenoF
  • 12Hemmo RiihimäkiG
  • 37Kasperi SilenG
  • 30JorginhoD
  • 6Saku SavolainenD
  • 23Arttu LötjönenD
  • 33Taneli HämäläinenD
Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Leading scorers: Sabah FA and KuPS

Sabah FA

GoalsAssists

  • J. Mickels41
  • V. Simić30

KuPS

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sabah FA beat KuPS 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for KuPS at 67% and given a win for Sabah FA 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goal: V. Simic 45+1' for Sabah FA.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.