Puskas Academy vs Paks NB I prediction & result
Final score: Puskas Academy 3-2 Paks.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Puskas Academy, 19% draw, 30% Paks — fair odds of 1.96, 5.26 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Puskas Academy at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Paks
Line-ups
- 72Bendegúz LehoczkiG
- 22Roland SzolnokiD
- 14Wojciech GollaD
- 21Georgiy HarutyunyanD
- 33Brandon Ormonde-OttewillD
- 6Laros DuarteM
- 10Palkó DárdaiM
- 74Martin KernM
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 8Dániel LukácsM
- 90András NémethF
- 66Zsombor VargaM
- 20Mikael SoisaloF
- 9Lamin ColleyF
- 1Tamás MarkekG
- 96Roland OrjánD
- 76Barna PálD
- 80Bendegúz FarkasD
- 68Daniel BruggerM
- 42Zsolt KrupaM
- 1Ádám KovácsikG
- 6Milán GyőrfiD
- 12Gabor VasD
- 30János SzabóD
- 20Márió ZekeD
- 14Erik SilyeD
- 17Milán PetőM
- 21Kristóf PappM
- 19Kevin HorváthM
- 10Zsolt HarasztiM
- 7József SzalaiF
- 24Bence LenzsérD
- 22József WindeckerM
- 18Gergő GyurkitsM
- 29Barna TóthF
- 28Márk GyetvánG
- 5Bálint VécseiM
- 4Andor LapuM
- 8Balázs BaloghM
- 9János HahnF
Form going into Puskas Academy vs Paks
Puskas Academy
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to MTK Budapest7 August 2026
- L0-2Kisvarda FC31 July 2026
- W2-0away to Debreceni VSC26 July 2026
Paks
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
- L2-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE3 August 2026
- D2-2away to Panathinaikos30 July 2026
- W4-2Ferencvarosi TC26 July 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos23 July 2026
What these results say
- Paks scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Paks conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Paks had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 | Paks | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Paks
- 19 April 2026Paks 1–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 24 January 2026Puskas Academy 1–2 PaksNB I
- 27 September 2025Paks 3–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 19 April 2025Paks 2–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 14 December 2024Puskas Academy 3–1 PaksNB I
Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Paks
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh52
- P. Dárdai32
Paks
GoalsAssists
- M. Pető61
- J. Szalai61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Puskas Academy beat Paks 3–2. The model had made a win for Puskas Academy its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Dániel Lukács (penalty) 7' for Puskas Academy, József Szalai 30' for Paks, Palkó Dárdai 41' for Puskas Academy, József Windecker 59' for Paks, Lamin Colley 90' for Puskas Academy.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.