18 July 2026

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Nashville SC, 21% draw, 11% Atlanta United FC — fair odds of 1.47, 4.76 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nashville SC at 68% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
🔁A. Fortuneout: W. Reilly
62'
🔁M. Edwardsout: R. Hernandez
🔁J. Bauerout: A. Najar
63'
🔁E. Tagsethout: B. Acosta
63'
🔁J. Maherout: J. Palacios
73'
🔁A. Qasemout: A. Muyl
73'
⚽S. Mohammedassist: A. Muyl
79'
83'
🔁L. Brennanout: F. Picault
83'
🔁C. Sanchezout: E. Latte Lath
Shakur Mohammed
85'
90+10'
Enea Mihaj
🔁S. Mohammedout: J. Knight
90+5'

Match stats — Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC

48%Possession52%
8Shots12
3On target5
4Corners2
0.47xG1.66

Goals against chances

Nashville SC1 from 0.47 xGmore than the chances were worth
Atlanta United FC0 from 1.66 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Nashville SC 4-4-2
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 14S. MohammedM
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 37A. QasemM
  • 10H. MukhtarF
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 6B. AcostaM
  • 4J. PalaciosD
  • 19A. MuylM
  • 21T. WilliamsD
  • 17W. PaciusF
  • 23J. KnightD
  • 12C. BrunetM
Coach: Brian Callaghan
Atlanta United FC 4-3-3
  • 1L. HoyosG
  • 47M. EdwardsD
  • 55T. JacobD
  • 4E. MihajD
  • 3E. BaezD
  • 48C. SanchezM
  • 8T. MuyumbaM
  • 35A. FortuneM
  • 20L. BrennanF
  • 59A. MiranchukF
  • 10M. AlmironF
Substitutes
  • 42J. HibbertG
  • 22F. PicaultF
  • 30C. TogashiF
  • 28W. ReillyM
  • 16A. GillM
  • 2R. HernandezD
  • 9E. Latte LathF
  • 18P. AmadorD
  • 56I. SuarezM
Coach: Gerardo Martino

Head-to-head: Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC

  • 18 July 2026Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • 18 April 2026Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 31 August 2025Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • 3 May 2025Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 14 September 2024Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 18 May 2024Nashville SC 1–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC

Nashville SC

  • S. Surridge15 goals
  • H. Mukhtar10 goals6 assists

Atlanta United FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.