Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 1-0 Trabzonspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Konyaspor, 30% draw, 36% Trabzonspor — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Trabzonspor at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 4Adil DemirbağD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 91Jean-Luc DompéF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 16Ata YanıkD
- 45Emir BarsF
- 25Omer CobanogluM
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 24André OnanaG
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 27Chibuike NwaiwuD
- 15Stefan SavićD
- 19Mustafa EskihellaçD
- 11Ozan TufanM
- 6FabinhoM
- 7Ernest MuçiM
- 10Mohamed SalahF
- 30Paul OnuachuF
- 58Aral ŞimşirF
- 55Sidny Lopes CabralD
- 70Noah SavioloF
- 9Franculino DjúF
- 25Onuralp ÇevikkanG
- 4Samet AkaydınD
- 39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
- 77Metehan MimaroğluF
- 57Melih KabasakalM
- 14Umut NayirF
Form going into Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
- L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
- L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026
Trabzonspor
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Amed31 August 2026
- L0-4away to Ferencvarosi TC27 August 2026
- W2-1Başakşehir23 August 2026
- L0-1Ferencvarosi TC20 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Konyaspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Trabzonspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Trabzonspor had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
- 22 May 2026Trabzonspor 2–1 KonyasporTürkiye Kupası
- 27 April 2026Konyaspor 2–1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 29 November 2025Trabzonspor 3–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 3 March 2025Konyaspor 1–0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 29 September 2024Trabzonspor 3–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah83
- Franculino Djú42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Konyaspor beat Trabzonspor 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Trabzonspor at 36% and given a win for Konyaspor 34%. The goal: R. Toth 2' for Konyaspor. On expected goals it finished 1.01–0.75.
How the call on Konyaspor v Trabzonspor has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is Konyaspor's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- Konyaspor win34%▼ −9
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Trabzonspor win36%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.