Eyüpspor vs Rizespor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Eyüpspor 0-2 Rizespor.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Eyüpspor, 30% draw, 32% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eyüpspor at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Horațiu MoldovanG
- 7Talha ÜlvanD
- 5Jawad El YamiqD
- 33Zak JulesD
- 21Simone GiordanoD
- 88Chandrel MassangaM
- 98Bilal BoutobbaM
- 8David CostaM
- 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
- 77Konrad MichalakM
- 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
- 9Yusuf BarasıF
- 18Hamza AkmanM
- 70Mete DemirF
- 11Lenny PintorF
- 1Emre BilginG
- 44Ömer Ahmet CeyhanD
- 42Berhan SatliD
- 3Arda YavuzD
- 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
- 75Yahia FofanaG
- 37Taha ŞahinD
- 4Attila MocsiD
- 93Modibo SagnanD
- 54Mithat PalaD
- 14Taylan AntalyalıM
- 79Iustin DoicaruM
- 10Ibrahim OlawoyinM
- 20Qazim LaciM
- 7Valentin MihăilăM
- 9Ali SoweF
- 23Ahmed KutucuF
- 99Emrecan BulutF
- 6Moussa DiakitéM
- 21Siaka BakayokoD
- 5Tayyip Talha SanuçD
- 30Zafer GörgenG
- 19Umut ErdemD
- 17Zakaria ArissD
- 8Dal VarešanovićM
Form going into Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
Eyüpspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Çorum FK6 September 2026
- W2-1Alanyaspor30 August 2026
- L0-1Gaziantep FK23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026
Rizespor
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Alanyaspor7 September 2026
- W2-1away to Gaziantep FK29 August 2026
- L0-2Samsunspor22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Konyaspor15 August 2026
What these results say
- Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Rizespor conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Rizespor had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 3 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
- 9 May 2026Eyüpspor 4–0 RizesporSüper Lig
- 13 December 2025Rizespor 3–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 20 April 2025Rizespor 1–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 23 November 2024Eyüpspor 1–2 RizesporSüper Lig
- 26 March 2023Eyüpspor 0–1 Rizespor1. Lig
Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Rizespor
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Rizespor
GoalsAssists
- Q. Laçi30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rizespor won 2–0 at Eyüpspor. The model had leaned towards a win for Eyüpspor at 38% and given a win for Rizespor 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Sowe 21' for Rizespor, E. Bulut 90+2' for Rizespor. Sent off: V. Mihaila (Rizespor) 43'. On expected goals it finished 1.44–1.85.