Eyüpspor
vs
Rizespor
Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Eyüpspor 0-2 Rizespor.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Eyüpspor, 30% draw, 35% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Eyüpspor 1.33, Rizespor 1.32.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eyüpspor at 35% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Horațiu MoldovanG
- 7Talha ÜlvanD
- 5Jawad El YamiqD
- 33Zak JulesD
- 21Simone GiordanoD
- 88Chandrel MassangaM
- 98Bilal BoutobbaM
- 8David CostaM
- 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
- 77Konrad MichalakM
- 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
- 9Yusuf BarasıF
- 18Hamza AkmanM
- 70Mete DemirF
- 11Lenny PintorF
- 1Emre BilginG
- 44Ömer Ahmet CeyhanD
- 42Berhan SatliD
- 3Arda YavuzD
- 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
- 75Yahia FofanaG
- 37Taha ŞahinD
- 4Attila MocsiD
- 93Modibo SagnanD
- 54Mithat PalaD
- 14Taylan AntalyalıM
- 79Iustin DoicaruM
- 10Ibrahim OlawoyinM
- 20Qazim LaciM
- 7Valentin MihăilăM
- 9Ali SoweF
- 23Ahmed KutucuF
- 99Emrecan BulutF
- 6Moussa DiakitéM
- 21Siaka BakayokoD
- 5Tayyip Talha SanuçD
- 30Zafer GörgenG
- 19Umut ErdemD
- 17Zakaria ArissD
- 8Dal VarešanovićM
Form going into Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
Eyüpspor
- L0-3away to Çorum FK6 September 2026
- W2-1Alanyaspor30 August 2026
- L0-1Gaziantep FK23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026
Rizespor
- L0-1Alanyaspor7 September 2026
- W2-1away to Gaziantep FK29 August 2026
- L0-2Samsunspor22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Konyaspor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 5 | Rizespor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
- 12 September 2026Eyüpspor 0–2 RizesporSüper Lig
- 9 May 2026Eyüpspor 4–0 RizesporSüper Lig
- 13 December 2025Rizespor 3–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 20 April 2025Rizespor 1–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 23 November 2024Eyüpspor 1–2 RizesporSüper Lig
- 26 March 2023Eyüpspor 0–1 Rizespor1. Lig
Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Rizespor
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Rizespor
- E. Bulut2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.33 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.32 for Rizespor; the game produced 0 and 2.
Goals
Scorers, in order: A. Sowe 21' (Rizespor), E. Bulut 90' (Rizespor).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eyüpspor the highest probability at 35%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.33 expected goals for Eyüpspor against 1.32 for Rizespor. Eyüpspor's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.24 for Rizespor.