14 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Süper Lig prediction & result

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Gaziantep FK 0-0 Fenerbahçe.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Gaziantep FK, 29% draw, 38% Fenerbahçe — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Fenerbahçe at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gaziantep FK4%Draw92%Fenerbahçe4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

U. Meleke
4'
🔁H. Dervisogluout: S. Dursun
60'
🔁A. Maximout: D. Camara
61'
64'
🔁M. Guendouziout: I. Kahveci
64'
🔁K. Akturkogluout: O. Aydin
64'
🔁R. Lukakuout: V. Muriqi
🔁D. Sorescuout: K. Gassama
69'
77'
🔁M. Muldurout: N. Semedo
🔁K. Kozlowskiout: S. Hansen
82'
🔁K. Calhanogluout: A. Sylla
82'
83'
I. Kahveci
A. Kizildag
83'
84'
V. Muriqi
M. Abena
84'
84'
O. Aydin
87'
🔁I. Yuksekout: B. Elmaz
S. Hansen
90+2'

Match stats — Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe

32%Possession68%
11Shots15
0On target4
6Corners6
0.49xG1.34

Goals against chances

Gaziantep FK0 from 0.49 xGabout what the chances were worth
Fenerbahçe0 from 1.34 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gaziantep FK
  • 25K. Tobiasz
  • 2L. Perez
  • 4A. Kizildag
  • 14M. Abena
  • 23K. Calhanoglu
  • 6U. Meleke
  • 18D. Sorescu
  • 8V. Gidado
  • 44A. Maxim
  • 10K. Kozlowski
  • 28H. Dervisoglu
Substitutes
  • 35A. Dadakdeniz
  • 21A. Sylla
  • 5E. Sarikaya
  • 7J. Bacuna
  • 3D. Camara
  • 61O. Ozcicek
  • 17K. Gassama
  • 19S. Dursun
  • 22S. Hansen
Coach: Orhan Ak
Fenerbahçe
  • 31Ederson
  • 18M. Muldur
  • 37M. Skriniar
  • 15N. Ake
  • 3A. Brown
  • 91N. Kante
  • 5I. Yuksek
  • 6M. Guendouzi
  • 11M. Greenwood
  • 9R. Lukaku
  • 7K. Akturkoglu
Substitutes
  • 34M. Gunok
  • 27N. Semedo
  • 14Y. E. Demir
  • 21K. Peprah
  • 22L. Mercan
  • 28B. Elmaz
  • 19V. Muriqi
  • 17I. Kahveci
  • 70O. Aydin
Coach: Ismail Kartal

Form going into Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe

Gaziantep FK

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2away to Göztepe7 September 2026
  • L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
  • D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026

Fenerbahçe

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1AS Roma10 September 2026
  • L1-2Beşiktaş5 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Samsunspor30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Lyon26 August 2026
  • W4-2Konyaspor22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Gaziantep FK scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Gaziantep FK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Gaziantep FK.
  • Fenerbahçe scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Fenerbahçe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Fenerbahçe.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Gaziantep FK9225915-68
5Fenerbahçe9513238+1516

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe

  • 17 March 2026Fenerbahçe 4–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 4 March 2026Gaziantep FK 0–4 FenerbahçeTürkiye Kupası
  • 27 October 2025Gaziantep FK 0–4 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
  • 26 April 2025Gaziantep FK 1–3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
  • 27 February 2025Gaziantep FK 1–4 FenerbahçeTürkiye Kupası

The full Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe record →

Leading scorers: Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe

Gaziantep FK

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Fenerbahçe

GoalsAssists

  • V. Muriqi71
  • M. Greenwood42
  • İ. Kahveci33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Fenerbahçe at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.49–1.34.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.