VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: VfL Wolfsburg 5-1 SV Darmstadt 98.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% VfL Wolfsburg, 26% draw, 19% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VfL Wolfsburg at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98
Line-ups
- 30J. ZielińskiG
- 26S. KumbediD
- 6H. WahlD
- 33CleitonD
- 21J. MæhleD
- 20M. DamarM
- 5Vinicius SouzaM
- 31Y. GerhardtM
- 17A. BernhardssonF
- 19R. GlatzelF
- 11F. ReeseF
- 18J. AdjeteyD
- 22M. AngelyD
- 27M. ArnoldM
- 8Bence DárdaiM
- 2K. FischerD
- 14P. HenselM
- 12P. PervanG
- 7K. ShiogaiF
- 23A. BesioF
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 20A. VukotićD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 23C. SickingerM
- 17K. KlefischM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 36M. SmitM
- 7N. WeißhauptM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 5M. RichterM
- 25W. MikelbrencisD
- 49Y. LührsD
- 19F. LakenmacherF
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 44Y. FurukawaF
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 30A. BrunstG
Form going into VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Wolfsburg
2. Bundesliga
- L0-1away to FC St. Pauli12 September 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga
- W2-1Arminia Bielefeld11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 16 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 4 May 2024VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98Bundesliga
- 16 December 2023SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 18 March 2017VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98Bundesliga
- 22 October 2016SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 19 March 2016VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Wolfsburg and SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Wolfsburg
GoalsAssists
- R. Glatzel51
- F. Reese46
- A. Bernhardsson43
SV Darmstadt 98
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
VfL Wolfsburg beat SV Darmstadt 98 5–1. The model had made a win for VfL Wolfsburg its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Alexander Bernhardsson 14' for VfL Wolfsburg, Milan Smit 29' for SV Darmstadt 98, Robert Glatzel 40' for VfL Wolfsburg, Alexander Bernhardsson 61' for VfL Wolfsburg, Muhammed Damar 66' for VfL Wolfsburg, Robert Glatzel 79' for VfL Wolfsburg.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.