Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeju United FC 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Jeju United FC, 24% draw, 31% Ulsan Hyundai FC — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeju United FC at 45% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 47Park Min-jaeD
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 2T. FigueiredoD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 22E. CinariM
- 5ItaloM
- 20M. JangM
- 33Park Su-binM
- 94Emerson NeguebaF
- 9Matheus AiasF
- 4Heo Kang-Jun
- 7Park Chang-JunF
- 11Shin Sang-EunF
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 39Kim Jae-minM
- 81J. HeoG
- 88Jo In-jungD
- 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
- 96Choi Seok-HyunD
- 15Jung Seung-HyunD
- 19Kim Young-GwonD
- 26Cho Hyun-TaekD
- 6D. BojanicM
- 10Lee Dong-GyeongM
- 55T. Oude KotteM
- 14Lee Jin-HyunF
- 99Yago CarielloF
- 11Erick FariasF
- 4Seo Myung-GuanD
- 8H. LeeM
- 16Park Woo-jinM
- 17Kang Sang-WooD
- 20Jeong Jae-sangF
- 24Lee Gyu-SeongM
- 31Hwang Byeong-KeunG
- 33Jang Si-YoungF
- 66M. TrojakD
Form going into Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
Jeju United FC
- W3-1Daejeon Citizen30 August 2026
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- W3-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jeju United FC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 46 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Ulsan Hyundai FC
Jeju United FC
- Matheus Aiás3 goals2 assists
- Italo Moreira3 goals1 assist
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Lee Dong-Gyeong7 goals5 assists
- Yago Cariello7 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.