Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-5 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Bucheon FC 1995, 29% draw, 30% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bucheon FC 1995 at 41% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen
Line-ups
- 1H. KimG
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 7Thiaguinho SantosM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 25Yeo Bong-HunM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11GalegoF
- 31Lee Sang-hyeonG
- 2Kim Jong-MinD
- 6Jeong Ho-JinM
- 66Yu Seung-HyunD
- 4S. Ye-Geon
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 18Lee Eui-HyeongF
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 4Cho Sung-GwonD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 7M. IshidaM
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeF
- 9Diogo OliveiraF
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 2K. ParkD
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 14Kim Jun-BeomM
- 20H. LeeM
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 99Yu Kang-HyunF
Form going into Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen
Bucheon FC 1995
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
Daejeon Citizen
- L1-3away to Jeju United FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 32 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 37 | +9 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen
Bucheon FC 1995
- Jefferson Galego4 goals1 assist
Daejeon Citizen
- Jeong Jae-Hee4 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.