Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Jeonbuk Motors, 31% draw, 33% FC Seoul — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeonbuk Motors at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
Line-ups
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 24Lee Sang-myungD
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 16J. GamboaM
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 7Lee Dong-JunF
- 99Bruno MotaF
- 95ItaloF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 27Hwang Seung-jun
- 37J. Han
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 30DodoM
- 9Tiago OroboF
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 27Moon Seon-MinM
- 10Anderson OliveiraF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 23Ko Pil-gwan
- 21Jung Ha-won
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
- 14Jeong Hyeon-WooF
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
Jeonbuk Motors
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Gangwon FC9 September 2026
- W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Incheon United30 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 August 2026
- W1-0Ulsan Hyundai FC22 August 2026
FC Seoul
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Ulsan Hyundai FC8 September 2026
- W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
- W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
- W7-0away to FC Anyang22 August 2026
What these results say
- Jeonbuk Motors went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Jeonbuk Motors had two goals or fewer.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 48 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61 | 29 | +32 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and FC Seoul
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó90
- Lee Seung-Woo44
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Seoul won 2–1 at Jeonbuk Motors. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeonbuk Motors at 36% and given a win for FC Seoul 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: P. Klimala 3' for FC Seoul, Bruno Mota 26' for Jeonbuk Motors, P. Klimala 90' for FC Seoul.
How the call on Jeonbuk Motors v FC Seoul has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 36% / 31% / 33%: the biggest move is Jeonbuk Motors's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Jeonbuk Motors win36%▲ +4
- Draw31%=
- FC Seoul win33%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.