Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 2-2 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Bucheon FC 1995, 31% draw, 30% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bucheon FC 1995 at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC
Line-ups
- 1H. KimG
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 4S. Ye-Geon
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11GalegoF
- 31Lee Sang-hyeonG
- 2Kim Jong-MinD
- 6Jeong Ho-JinM
- 7Thiaguinho SantosD
- 83Jo Seong-JunF
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 18Lee Eui-HyeongF
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 47Park Min-jaeD
- 2T. FigueiredoD
- 3J. CelestineD
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 33Park Su-binM
- 5ItaloM
- 20M. JangM
- 11Shin Sang-EunM
- 22E. CinariF
- 9Matheus AiasF
- 81J. HeoG
- 4Heo Kang-JunD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 88Jo In-jungD
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 39Kim Jae-minM
- 55Kang Dong-hwiM
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
Form going into Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC
Bucheon FC 1995
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Incheon United8 September 2026
- L0-5Daejeon Citizen5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul25 August 2026
- L0-3away to Pohang Steelers22 August 2026
Jeju United FC
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC9 September 2026
- D0-0Ulsan Hyundai FC5 September 2026
- W3-1Daejeon Citizen30 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers25 August 2026
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC22 August 2026
What these results say
- Bucheon FC 1995 did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 32 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Bucheon FC 1995 and Jeju United FC
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego41
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba42
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bucheon FC 1995 and Jeju United FC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Bucheon FC 1995 at 39% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: T. Figueiredo (own goal) 3' for Bucheon FC 1995, Italo 41' for Jeju United FC, Matheus Aias 45' for Jeju United FC, Galego 63' for Bucheon FC 1995.
How the call on Bucheon FC 1995 v Jeju United FC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 39% / 31% / 30%: the biggest move is Bucheon FC 1995's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Bucheon FC 1995 win39%▼ −6
- Draw31%▲ +4
- Jeju United FC win30%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.