Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Pohang Steelers, 32% draw, 31% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pohang Steelers at 37% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Line-ups
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 3Kim Ye-SungD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 9J. AnF
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 41M. ParkG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 45Byeon Jun-SooD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 55T. ParkM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 9G. LeeF
- 51Ahn Jun-SuG
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 56K. LeeM
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 17Kim Joo-ChanF
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 31 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Lee Ho-Jae40
- J. Tranziska32
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.