22 August 2026, 10:30 UTC

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Jeju United FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Jeju United FC, 17% draw, 15% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 1.47, 5.88 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Jeju United FC at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jeju United FC7%Draw90%Gimcheon Sangmu FC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

44'
Park Cheol-woo
Emerson Ramon
45+2'
🔁Shin Sang-Eunout: Park Chang-Jun
54'
🔁M. Jangout: Kwon Gi-min
67'
🔁Emerson Neguebaout: Choi Byung-wook
67'
🔁Lee Chang-Minout: Park Su-bin
67'
68'
🔁Park Se-Jinout: Kim Yi-Seok
68'
🔁Hong Yun-Sangout: Kim Joo-Chan
Matheus Aiás
71'
🔁Matheus Aiasout: Kim Shin-Jin
78'
81'
🔁Lee Jung-Taekout: Lee Chan-Wook
81'
🔁Kim Tae-Hwanout: Hong Si-Hoo
85'
Tae-jun Park
89'
🔁G. Leeout: Kim In-Gyun
Byung-wook Choi
90+7'
90+8'
Jong-beom Baek
90+7'
Kim Lee-Seok

Line-ups

Jeju United FC 4-1-4-1
  • 1Kim Dong-JunG
  • 47Park Min-jaeD
  • 2T. FigueiredoD
  • 3J. CelestineD
  • 13Jeong WoonD
  • 20M. JangM
  • 11Shin Sang-EunM
  • 8Lee Chang-MinM
  • 5ItaloM
  • 94Emerson NeguebaM
  • 9Matheus AiasF
Substitutes
  • 6Kwon Gi-minD
  • 7Park Chang-JunF
  • 18Kim Shin-JinF
  • 24Choi Byung-wookM
  • 33Park Su-binM
  • 41Kim Jae-WooD
  • 77S. YooM
  • 81J. HeoG
  • 88Jo In-jungD
Coach: Sergio Costa
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 4-1-4-1
  • 1Baek Jong-beomG
  • 11Kim Tae-HwanD
  • 45Byeon Jun-SooD
  • 26Lee Jung-TaekD
  • 3Park Cheol-WooD
  • 56K. LeeM
  • 7Go Jae-HyeonM
  • 14Park Se-JinM
  • 55T. ParkM
  • 48Hong Yun-SangM
  • 9G. LeeF
Substitutes
  • 8Kim Yi-SeokM
  • 15Lim Dug-KeunD
  • 17Kim Joo-ChanF
  • 20Lee Chan-WookD
  • 21Kim In-GyunF
  • 41M. ParkG
  • 42Hong Si-HooD
  • 53Roh Kyung-HoM
  • 57Jung Jae-MinF
Coach: Seung-jin Joo

Form going into Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Jeju United FC

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0FC Anyang15 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Jeonbuk Motors8 August 2026

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Incheon United16 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Jeju United FC351212114139+248
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC3562093542-738

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

  • 5 July 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 18 April 2026Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
  • 26 July 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 17 May 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 22 February 2025Jeju United FC 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
  • 1 September 2024Jeju United FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1

Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Jeju United FC

GoalsAssists

  • Emerson Negueba62
  • Lee Kun-Hee41

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

GoalsAssists

  • Go Jae-Hyeon53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeju United FC at 68% and given a draw 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.