Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeju United FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% Jeju United FC, 17% draw, 15% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 1.47, 5.88 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Jeju United FC at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 47Park Min-jaeD
- 2T. FigueiredoD
- 3J. CelestineD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 20M. JangM
- 11Shin Sang-EunM
- 8Lee Chang-MinM
- 5ItaloM
- 94Emerson NeguebaM
- 9Matheus AiasF
- 6Kwon Gi-minD
- 7Park Chang-JunF
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 33Park Su-binM
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 77S. YooM
- 81J. HeoG
- 88Jo In-jungD
- 1Baek Jong-beomG
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 45Byeon Jun-SooD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 56K. LeeM
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 55T. ParkM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 9G. LeeF
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 15Lim Dug-KeunD
- 17Kim Joo-ChanF
- 20Lee Chan-WookD
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 41M. ParkG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 53Roh Kyung-HoM
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
Form going into Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC
All competitions we cover
- W2-0FC Anyang15 August 2026
- W3-1away to Jeonbuk Motors8 August 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Incheon United16 August 2026
- D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 5 July 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 18 April 2026Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 26 July 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 17 May 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 22 February 2025Jeju United FC 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 1 September 2024Jeju United FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba62
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeju United FC at 68% and given a draw 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one.