22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Full time0 – 1

Final score: FF Jaro 0-1 AC Oulu.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% FF Jaro, 26% draw, 30% AC Oulu — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FF Jaro at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FF Jaro0%Draw5%AC Oulu95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
M. Arsalo
A. Vidjeskog
37'
63'
C. Triana
64'
🔁C. Trianaout: L. Ghezali
🔁A. Vidjeskogout: V. Lofs
65'
🔁V. Vuorinenout: L. Zetterstrom
65'
🔁K. Hardenout: J. Remesaho
65'
M. Ogungbaro
71'
72'
⚽N. Jokelainen
🔁A. Bjonbackout: J. Myrevik
74'
75'
🔁M. Arsaloout: J. Paananen
85'
🔁R. Karjalainenout: M. Ojala
85'
🔁N. Jokelainenout: S. Silander
87'
L. Ghezali

Line-ups

FF Jaro 4-2-3-1
  • 1Senne VitsG
  • 5Aron BjonbäckD
  • 6Johan BrunellD
  • 4Michael OgungbaroD
  • 19Fabian Östigard NessD
  • 8Oliver Kass KawoM
  • 16Adam VidjeskogM
  • 11Herman SjögrellM
  • 22Kaius HardénM
  • 77Abdi Mohamed SabriyeM
  • 91Ville VuorinenM
Substitutes
  • 31Anton FinellG
  • 20Ted SoderstromD
  • 2Felix KassD
  • 21Jim MyrevikD
  • 24Valde LofsM
  • 42Joni RemesahoM
  • 18Elliot HolmängF
  • 27Joas VikströmF
  • 9Linus ZetterstromF
Coach: Jens Karlsson
AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
  • 13Miguel SantosG
  • 16Otto KemppainenD
  • 5Mikko PitkänenD
  • 66Juha PirinenD
  • 18Adramane CassamaM
  • 25Markus ArsaloM
  • 21Iiro MendolinM
  • 14Niklas JokelainenM
  • 7Rasmus KarjalainenM
  • 22Tuomas KaukuaM
  • 10Camilo TrianaF
Substitutes
  • 99Niklas SchulzG
  • 3Alex LietsaD
  • 2Sami SipolaD
  • 29Santeri SilanderD
  • 30Juuso MakelainenM
  • 6Julius PaananenM
  • 8Matias OjalaM
  • 11Lamine GhezaliM
  • 27Elias KallioM
Coach: Mikko Isokangas

Form going into FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

FF Jaro

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026
  • L1-3VPS8 August 2026

AC Oulu

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Inter Turku16 August 2026
  • L0-1HJK Helsinki9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

  • 31 May 2026AC Oulu 2–1 FF JaroFinnish Premier League
  • 15 April 2026AC Oulu 1–2 FF JaroSuomen Cup
  • 28 March 2026FF Jaro 2–3 AC OuluFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 February 2026FF Jaro 2–6 AC OuluLeague Cup
  • 14 September 2025FF Jaro 1–2 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
  • 2 August 2025AC Oulu 0–1 FF JaroFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: FF Jaro and AC Oulu

FF Jaro

No leading scorers listed yet.

AC Oulu

GoalsAssists

  • R. Karjalainen56

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

AC Oulu won 1–0 at FF Jaro. The model had leaned towards a win for FF Jaro at 44% and given a win for AC Oulu 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: N. Jokelainen 72' for AC Oulu.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.