Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 3-0 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Daejeon Citizen, 22% draw, 41% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 4Cho Sung-GwonD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 11Um Won-SangM
- 14Kim Jun-BeomM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 7M. IshidaF
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 9Diogo OliveiraF
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeF
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 23M. TuciD
- 33Hong ChulD
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 70J. SekidikaM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 7Kim Dae-WonF
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 13Lee Gi-HyukD
- 14Y. KangM
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 24H. ParkD
- 26W. ChoF
- 27Kim Do-HyunF
- 51Cho Min-KyuG
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to FC Seoul15 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Anyang8 August 2026
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC
- 12 May 2026Gangwon FC 2–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 12 April 2026Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 22 November 2025Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 27 September 2025Gangwon FC 0–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 19 July 2025Gangwon FC 2–2 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 27 April 2025Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen beat Gangwon FC 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 41% and given a win for Daejeon Citizen 37%. The goals: G. Ludwigson 47' for Daejeon Citizen, Joo Min-Kyu 56' for Daejeon Citizen, Jeong Jae-Hee 66' for Daejeon Citizen. Sent off: Min-woo Seo (Gangwon FC) 42'.