27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Referee: Harm Osmers
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Israel 0-3 Rep. Of Ireland.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Israel, 28% draw, 49% Rep. Of Ireland — fair odds of 4.35, 3.57 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rep. Of Ireland at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Israel0%Draw1%Rep. Of Ireland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Troy Parrottassist: James Abankwah
16'
⚽Adam Idahassist: Jack Moylan
25'
⚽Jack Moylan
🔁guy mizrahiout: Dor Peretz
45'
Raz Shlomo
59'
59'
Adam Idah
🔁Gabi Kanikovskiout: Ethane Azoulay
64'
🔁Dor Turgemanout: Idan Toklomati Jorno
64'
68'
🔁James Abankwahout: Jason Knight
68'
🔁Jack Moylanout: Killian Phillips
69'
🔁Adam Idahout: Thomas Cannon
🔁Anan Khalailiout: Eli Dasa
76'
76'
🔁Troy Parrottout: Rocco Vata
🔁Roy Revivoout: Ilay Feingold
83'
88'
🔁Jayson Molumbyout: Joel Bagan
89'
Conor Coventry

Match stats — Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland

64%Possession36%
8Shots9
4On target3
2Corners4

Line-ups

Israel 5-3-2
  • 1Daniel PeretzG
  • 17A. KhalailiD
  • 14G. MizrahiD
  • 4R. ShlomoD
  • 13N. StoioanovD
  • 3R. RevivoD
  • 16G. KanichowskyM
  • 15E. PeretzM
  • 10M. SolomonM
  • 19D. TurgemanF
  • 11O. GloukhF
Substitutes
  • 22E. AzoulayM
  • 20L. AbadaF
  • 9T. BariboF
  • 2E. DasaD
  • 12I. FeingoldD
  • 18O. GlazerG
  • 6Y. LeviM
  • 5I. NachmiasD
  • 8Dor PeretzM
Coach: R. Ben Shimon
Rep. Of Ireland 3-4-3
  • 1C. KelleherG
  • 4D. O'SheaD
  • 5J. O'BrienD
  • 12L. KitchingD
  • 2J. AbankwahM
  • 14C. CoventryM
  • 6J. MolumbyM
  • 18R. ManningM
  • 17J. MoylanF
  • 7T. ParrottF
  • 10A. IdahF
Substitutes
  • 9T. CannonF
  • 23J. DunneD
  • 15J. EganD
  • 19O. EldingF
  • 8J. KnightM
  • 16M. O’LearyG
  • 20C. OgbeneF
  • 22K. PhillipsM
  • 3L. ScalesD
Coach: H. Hallgrímsson

Form going into Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland

Israel

UEFA Nations League

  • L1-3away to Austria24 September 2026

Rep. Of Ireland

UEFA Nations League

  • L0-1away to Kosovo24 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Israel402227-52
3Rep. Of Ireland412164+25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Israel and Rep. Of Ireland

Israel

No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Rep. Of Ireland

GoalsAssists

  • T. Parrott40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rep. Of Ireland won 3–0 at Israel. The model had made a win for Rep. Of Ireland its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Troy Parrott 13' for Rep. Of Ireland, Adam Idah 16' for Rep. Of Ireland, Jack Moylan 25' for Rep. Of Ireland.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.