Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Jaguares 1-2 Alianza Valledupar.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Jaguares, 29% draw, 26% Alianza Valledupar — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Jaguares at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar
Line-ups
- 1D. MartínezG
- 14E. MartínezD
- 3J. MalagónD
- 29C. HenaoD
- 18L. JiménezD
- 5R. ColpaM
- 21R. BustamanteM
- 24S. CubidesM
- 16E. BeltránM
- 9J. MejiaM
- 11A. RenteríaF
- 7W. De La RosaF
- 19C. CantilloM
- 2A. AlfonsoM
- 27F. GraciaM
- 17D. LópezF
- 12F. MosqueraG
- 8D. RodríguezF
- 28D. ZuluagaM
- 10C. ÁlvarezM
- 40E. EstebanG
- 23I. AlbaD
- 3K. MorenoD
- 22J. FigueroaD
- 32J. ViverosD
- 10D. QuiñónesM
- 6E. MezaM
- 7J. CastilloM
- 33J. LassoM
- 18C. VergaraF
- 8J. MuñozF
- 13A. SimancasG
- 2Sebastián QuiñonesD
- 25J. PerezM
- 88L. PalaciosM
- 21Samuel NietoF
- 55W. FernándezM
- 14C. VillegasF
Form going into Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Independiente Medellin22 September 2026
Alianza Valledupar
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 13 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar
- 19 March 2026Alianza Valledupar 1–0 JaguaresPrimera A
- 10 November 2024Jaguares 0–0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
- 21 April 2024Alianza Valledupar 2–1 JaguaresPrimera A
- 22 September 2023Jaguares 0–0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
- 15 April 2023Alianza Valledupar 3–0 JaguaresPrimera A
Leading scorers: Jaguares and Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
GoalsAssists
- A. Rentería123
Alianza Valledupar
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Alianza Valledupar won 2–1 at Jaguares. The model had leaned towards a win for Jaguares at 45% and given a win for Alianza Valledupar 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Andrés Rentería 15' for Jaguares, Jair Castillo 39' for Alianza Valledupar, J. Lasso 72' for Alianza Valledupar.