Gibraltar vs Andorra UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Gibraltar, 29% draw, 25% Andorra — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gibraltar at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gibraltar vs Andorra
Line-ups
- 1B. BandaG
- 5D. BentD
- 6B. LopesD
- 3J. ValarinoD
- 8K. RonanM
- 19L. MasonM
- 22G. TorrillaM
- 4N. PozoM
- 11J. ScanlonM
- 10T. De BarrF
- 9D. BorgeF
- 2E. JolleyD
- 16H. StevensM
- 23J. HankinsG
- 20E. BrittoD
- 15Paddy McClaffertyD
- 7Carlos Peliza RichardsF
- 17L. JessopF
- 18J. BartoloF
- 13Victor Huart GuerraG
- 12Iker ÁlvarezG
- 2Biel BorraD
- 5Max LloveraD
- 22Ian OliveraD
- 15Moisés San NicolásD
- 16Éric De Las Heras IzquierdoM
- 3Pau BabotM
- 14jordi alaezM
- 10G. LópezM
- 17Aron RodrigoM
- 20Gerard GarciaF
- 21A. CornellaD
- 11Albert RosasF
- 19Joel GuillénD
- 4Christian GarcíaD
- 1M. De CastroG
- 6Francisco PomaresD
- 8Eric ValesM
- 7Alexandre MartínezF
- 9Ricard FernándezF
Form going into Gibraltar vs Andorra
Gibraltar
No earlier matches on record this season.
Andorra
UEFA Nations League
- L1-2Malta24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gibraltar vs Andorra
- 4 September 2024Gibraltar 1–0 AndorraFriendlies
- 19 November 2022Gibraltar 1–0 AndorraFriendlies
- 7 June 2021Andorra 0–0 GibraltarFriendlies
The result against the call
Gibraltar and Andorra drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gibraltar at 46% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.