27 September 2026, 23:05 UTC

Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Referee: Luis Matorel Bolivar
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Fortaleza FC 2-2 Deportes Tolima.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Fortaleza FC, 32% draw, 36% Deportes Tolima — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportes Tolima at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Yesid Díaz
6'
Jordan Garcia
10'
27'
Homer Martinez
30'
⚽Yesid Díaz (OG)
Santiago Vivas Vélez
33'
Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo
33'
45'
🔁Homer Martinezout: Sebastian Guzman
45'
🔁Cristian Arrietaout: Brayan Rovira
45'
🔁Junior Hernandezout: Jorge Hurtado
47'
Jan Angulo
⚽Juan Sebastian Herreraassist: Jordan Garcia
51'
56'
Ever Valencia
🔁Mariano Vázquezout: Jhoiner Salas
64'
🔁Santiago Vivas Vélezout: Italo Montano Cortes
64'
68'
🔁S. Aguayoout: Luis Sanchez
68'
🔁Ever Valenciaout: Luis Sandoval
🔁Jordan Garciaout: Leonardo Pico
71'
73'
⚽Jorge Hurtadoassist: Luis Sandoval
Italo Montano Cortes
76'
77'
Shean Barbosa
🔁Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardoout: Franco Pulicastro
80'
🔁Santiago Cueroout: Julio Sinisterra
80'
84'
Sebastian Guzman
Teun Wilke
90+2'
90+5'
Luis Sandoval
⚽Sebastian Navarro
90+6'

Match stats — Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima

57%Possession43%
14Shots7
6On target1
8Corners0

Line-ups

Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1
  • 1W. BarlasinaG
  • 16J. CajaresD
  • 6Y. DíazD
  • 5J. Medina ObandoD
  • 15S. CueroD
  • 13Brandón Andrés Mejía FajardoM
  • 32Mariano VázquezM
  • 8S. NavarroM
  • 28S. VivasM
  • 25J. GarciaM
  • 9J. HerreraF
Substitutes
  • 29T. Wilke BraamsF
  • 35Adrian Mosquera RenteríaD
  • 7Í. MontañoF
  • 2Andres MosqueraM
  • 14L. PicoM
  • 19F. PulicastroF
  • 24J. SalasF
  • 12C. SantanderG
  • 27J. SinisterraF
Coach: Diego Arias
Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
  • 1Neto VolpiG
  • 28E. LópezD
  • 3J. AnguloD
  • 2A. AnguloD
  • 30S. P. Barbosa GomezD
  • 14H. MartínezM
  • 17C. ArrietaM
  • 24A. ParraM
  • 8E. ValenciaM
  • 20J. HernándezM
  • 15S. AguayoF
Substitutes
  • 32S. GuzmánM
  • 21A. IbarguenD
  • 13M. OrtegaG
  • 4D. PedrozoD
  • 80B. RoviraM
  • 9L. SandovalF
  • 29Néifer SánchezF
  • 7J. CabezasF
  • 10L. SánchezM
Coach: S. Oliveros

Form going into Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4Junior20 September 2026

Deportes Tolima

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1America de Cali20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Fortaleza FC181981728-1112
9Deportes Tolima187562321+226

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima

  • 19 March 2026Deportes Tolima 2–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
  • 8 December 2025Deportes Tolima 1–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
  • 18 November 2025Fortaleza FC 0–1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
  • 31 August 2025Deportes Tolima 1–1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
  • 15 March 2025Fortaleza FC 1–1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A

Leading scorers: Fortaleza FC and Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Deportes Tolima

GoalsAssists

  • A. Parra95

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fortaleza FC and Deportes Tolima drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportes Tolima at 36% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Yesid Díaz (own goal) 30' for Deportes Tolima, Juan Sebastian Herrera 51' for Fortaleza FC, Jorge Hurtado 73' for Deportes Tolima, Sebastian Navarro 90+6' for Fortaleza FC. Sent off: Teun Wilke (Fortaleza FC) 90+2'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.