14 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0-4 Maccabi Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Ironi Kiryat Shmona, 30% draw, 37% Maccabi Haifa — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Maccabi Haifa at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ironi Kiryat Shmona0%Draw1%Maccabi Haifa99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Yair mordechai
•Ofir Benbenishti
26'
Ofir Benbenishti
28'
40'
⚽Ethane Azoulayassist: Pedro Brazão
Alexandre Mussolo Sola
45+2'
🔁Ariel Sheratzkyout: Talles Costa
45'
•Amadou Sagna
50'
56'
⚽Pedro Brazãoassist: Nigel Lonwijk
🔁Niv Michael Gabayout: Alexandru Pop
58'
60'
Jelle Bataille
60'
Pedro Brazão
61'
🔁Kenny Saiefout: Noam Sztejfman
61'
🔁Yair mordechaiout: Kenji Gorre
65'
Bruninho
66'
⚽Noam Sztejfmanassist: Nigel Lonwijk
🔁Rufat Abdullazadaout: Nadav Markovitch
69'
71'
🔁Ethane Azoulayout: Yarin Levi
71'
🔁Pedro Brazãoout: Cedric
🔁Shay Sabahout: Itzik Shoolmayster
76'
🔁Shay Ben Davidout: shon edri
76'
77'
🔁Andrija Novakovichout: Ayi Silvain Kangani Soukpe
81'
Ali Mohamed
86'
⚽Tsunami

Match stats — Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa

38%Possession62%
9Shots21
1On target8
2Corners6

Line-ups

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4-2-3-1
  • 19DanielG
  • 20O. DarwishD
  • 26N. LjubisavljevićD
  • 32S. Ben-DavidD
  • 11S. SabahD
  • 63Alexandre SolaM
  • 6O. BenbenishtiM
  • 7A. SagnaM
  • 10A. ShirdatzkiM
  • 21R. AbdullazadəM
  • 39N. GabayF
Substitutes
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 9A. PopM
  • 17I. ShoolmaysterD
  • 8Talles CostaM
  • 28I. VaierD
  • 1Nikola DjurkovicG
  • 4A. GlazerD
  • 44S. EdriD
  • 12J. Al HalabiF
Coach: S. Barda
Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 55O. GlazerG
  • 25J. BatailleD
  • 21N. LonwijkD
  • 66TsunamiD
  • 16K. SaiefD
  • 19E. AzoulayM
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 30Pedro BrazãoM
  • 7Y. MordechaiM
  • 10BruninhoM
  • 9A. NovakovićF
Substitutes
  • 35N. SztejfmanD
  • 90G. AlvinG
  • 45C. DonF
  • 3S. GoldbergD
  • 11K. GorréF
  • 26S. KaniM
  • 29Iyad KhalailiM
  • 8Y. LeviM
  • 36N. RatnerD
Coach: B. Bakhar

Form going into Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4away to Hapoel Jerusalem5 September 2026
  • W2-0Ironi Tiberias29 August 2026

Maccabi Haifa

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Hapoel Petah Tikva5 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Maccabi Tel Aviv31 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona8107616-103
4Maccabi Haifa86022014+618

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa

  • 28 July 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3–0 Maccabi HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 12 April 2026Maccabi Haifa 4–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 6 December 2025Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 11 January 2025Maccabi Haifa 4–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 28 September 2024Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–4 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Maccabi Haifa

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Novaković41
  • Bruninho35
  • E. Azoulay30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Haifa won 4–0 at Ironi Kiryat Shmona. The model had made a win for Maccabi Haifa its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ethane Azoulay 40' for Maccabi Haifa, Pedro Brazão 56' for Maccabi Haifa, Noam Sztejfman 66' for Maccabi Haifa, Tsunami 86' for Maccabi Haifa. Sent off: Ofir Benbenishti (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) 28'.

How the call on Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Maccabi Haifa has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 29% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 30% / 37%: the biggest move is Ironi Kiryat Shmona's chance of winning, down 12 points.

  1. Ironi Kiryat Shmona win33%▼ −12
  2. Draw30%▲ +1
  3. Maccabi Haifa win37%▲ +11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.