Hapoel Ramat Gan
vs
Maccabi Netanya
Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-0 Maccabi Netanya.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 30% draw, 31% Maccabi Netanya — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.40, Maccabi Netanya 1.13.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa22 August 2026
Maccabi Netanya
- D1-1Hapoel Haifa7 September 2026
- W4-1away to Beitar Jerusalem29 August 2026
- D0-0Bnei Sakhnin24 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Maccabi Netanya | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Ramat Gan
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Maccabi Netanya
- Matheus Davó4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Hapoel Ramat Gan carry a model rating of 6.31 against 6.35 for Maccabi Netanya. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.40 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.13 for Maccabi Netanya. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hapoel Ramat Gan rate 0.52 in attack and 1.54 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Maccabi Netanya rate 0.61 and 1.66.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Maccabi Netanya, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hapoel Ramat Gan the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.4 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan against 1.13 for Maccabi Netanya. Hapoel Ramat Gan's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.66 for Maccabi Netanya.