Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Beitar Jerusalem, 29% draw, 26% Maccabi Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Line-ups
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 4B. CarabalíD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 11T. MuziD
- 30T. YosefiM
- 40B. EnowM
- 26D. WorkoM
- 77O. AtziliF
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 8Z. ShimolM
- 5G. CohenD
- 25L. DeriD
- 9J. KaluF
- 15N. MucheM
- 22Y. OzerG
- 91N. ShedoF
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 10A. YonaM
- 39M. ErlichG
- 26G. DeznetD
- 18E. TibiD
- 22Bashar AbdachD
- 17A. SalemD
- 9S. OwusuM
- 21I. SoumahM
- 20I. CohenM
- 77J. CortésM
- 97M. RakonjacF
- 53L. HazanF
- 10A. LugassyF
- 27Y. KorenF
- 6E. YaoD
- 99Eyal InbrumF
- 1D. HevronG
- 8Dan Lee-YamD
- 30O. DadyaD
- 12I. BaruchD
- 7K. SpenceF
Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Bnei Sakhnin7 September 2026
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
- L1-2Austria Vienna6 August 2026
Maccabi Petah Tikva
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Ironi Tiberias5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Bnei Sakhnin29 August 2026
What these results say
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
- 2 March 2025Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–2 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
- 4 December 2024Beitar Jerusalem 5–0 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
- 19 August 2024Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–4 Beitar JerusalemToto Cup Ligat Al
- 20 May 2024Beitar Jerusalem 1–1 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
- 16 March 2024Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–3 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Maccabi Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili32
- E. Ansah30
Maccabi Petah Tikva
GoalsAssists
- J. Cortés41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem beat Maccabi Petah Tikva 3–1. The model had made a win for Beitar Jerusalem its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Shon Weissman 19' for Beitar Jerusalem, Omer Atzili 28' for Beitar Jerusalem, Johnbosco Samuel Kalu 87' for Beitar Jerusalem, Yoav Koren 89' for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
How the call on Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Petah Tikva has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 57% / 25% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 45% / 29% / 26%: the biggest move is Beitar Jerusalem's chance of winning, down 12 points.
- Beitar Jerusalem win45%▼ −12
- Draw29%▲ +4
- Maccabi Petah Tikva win26%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.