Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Haifa 3-1 Bnei Sakhnin.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Hapoel Haifa, 36% draw, 24% Bnei Sakhnin — fair odds of 2.50, 2.78 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Haifa at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
Line-ups
- 1Y. GerafiG
- 2N. CohenD
- 13D. ŽuparićD
- 5I. KričakD
- 77A. MendyD
- 55N. SabagM
- 8Cheick KeitaM
- 15Y. GonenM
- 10S. EliasM
- 7L. RotmanM
- 17A. TurgemanF
- 11I. S. FahimaM
- 23M. AmbarG
- 9W. AgadaF
- 4D. MalulD
- 14W. HabiballaF
- 25G. DibaD
- 21C DiakitéF
- 12A. AyiasF
- 18Itay ZafraniF
- 1R. BălbărăuG
- 29A. SalmanD
- 2M. GantusD
- 4O. DahanD
- 17Amit KaradiD
- 92Saná GomesD
- 77A. SeferM
- 8M. VorobjovasM
- 28I. HagagM
- 10M. Anim CudjoeF
- 24B. KhuriF
- 7M. YusefM
- 6A. TahaD
- 16L. HalafF
- 44A. GnamehD
- 20M. GanameD
- 11J. BushnaqF
- 21M. Abu RiyaM
- 22M. Abu NilG
- 5I. Abu AbaidD
Form going into Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Haifa
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Maccabi Netanya7 September 2026
- D2-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva2 September 2026
- D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026
Bnei Sakhnin
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Beitar Jerusalem7 September 2026
- L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hapoel Haifa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
- 1 August 2026Bnei Sakhnin 1–2 Hapoel HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
- 18 May 2026Hapoel Haifa 3–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
- 30 December 2025Hapoel Haifa 0–2 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
- 13 September 2025Bnei Sakhnin 0–2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 30 July 2025Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Bnei SakhninToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Hapoel Haifa and Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Haifa
GoalsAssists
- A. Turgeman41
Bnei Sakhnin
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Haifa beat Bnei Sakhnin 3–1. The model had made a win for Hapoel Haifa its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: yaad gonen 6' for Hapoel Haifa, C Keita 23' for Hapoel Haifa, basil khuri 25' for Bnei Sakhnin, Liran Rotman 29' for Hapoel Haifa.
How the call on Hapoel Haifa v Bnei Sakhnin has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 35% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 40% / 36% / 24%: the biggest move is Hapoel Haifa's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Hapoel Haifa win40%▼ −2
- Draw36%▲ +1
- Bnei Sakhnin win24%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.