Ipswich vs Fulham Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ipswich 2-1 Fulham.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Ipswich, 27% draw, 36% Fulham — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ipswich at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ipswich vs Fulham
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28C. WaltonG
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 6I. DiopD
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 12FlorentinoM
- 38D. MaedaM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 11J. PhilogeneM
- 19EmersonnF
- 29C. AkpomF
- 47J. ClarkeF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 2D. FurlongD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 5A. MatusiwaM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 37K. ScherpenG
- 8S. EgeliF
- 1B. LenoG
- 2K. TeteD
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 3C. BasseyD
- 30R. SessegnonD
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 24Joshua KingM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
- 11KevinF
- 8César PalaciosM
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 20Manuel ÁngelM
- 23B. LecomteG
- 15H. LarssonM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
Form going into Ipswich vs Fulham
Ipswich
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Everton19 September 2026
- W3-2away to Crystal Palace12 September 2026
- L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
- W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026
Fulham
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Manchester United20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Liverpool12 September 2026
- L2-3Crystal Palace5 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sunderland30 August 2026
- L2-3Chelsea24 August 2026
What these results say
- Ipswich conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Fulham did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Fulham conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Fulham
- 5 January 2025Fulham 2–2 IpswichPremier League
- 31 August 2024Ipswich 1–1 FulhamPremier League
- 1 November 2023Ipswich 1–3 FulhamLeague Cup
- 16 September 2020Ipswich 0–1 FulhamLeague Cup
- 2 January 2018Fulham 4–1 IpswichChampionship
The result against the call
Ipswich beat Fulham 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ipswich at 37%. The goals: Ryan Sessegnon 55' for Fulham, Abdoul Ouattara 88' for Ipswich, Dara O'Shea 90+1' for Ipswich. On expected goals it finished 1.22–1.87.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.