14 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Premier League prediction & result

Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 National Bank of Egypt.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Ceramica Cleopatra, 27% draw, 25% National Bank of Egypt — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ceramica Cleopatra at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ceramica Cleopatra99%Draw1%National Bank of Egypt0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ahmed Belhadji
45+1'
🔁A. Hanyout: A. Magdy
46'
⚽Boboassist: A. Belhadji
49'
55'
🔁A. Madbouliout: R. El Metwaly
55'
🔁Y. Annorout: M. Shalaby
🔁Boboout: F. El Henawy
62'
⚽K. Amr
65'
68'
🔁A. Rayanout: Oufa
70'
Mahmoud El-Gazzar
🔁S. El Erakiout: N. Ragab
71'
75'
🔁Bencharkiout: M. Naser
75'
🔁Shefoout: S. Abdallah
🔁A. Belhadjiout: A. El Solia
79'
🔁M. Otakaout: A. Mukka
79'
90+2'
Ali Hamdy

Match stats — Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt

49%Possession51%
7Shots13
4On target2
6Corners3
0.44xG0.7

Goals against chances

Ceramica Cleopatra2 from 0.44 xGmore than the chances were worth
National Bank of Egypt0 from 0.70 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ceramica Cleopatra 4-2-3-1
  • 23M. Alaa
  • 2A. HanyD
  • 4BeckhamD
  • 24J. ArthurD
  • 27H. El SayedD
  • 28K. AmrM
  • 10A. Belhadji
  • 15S. El ErakiM
  • 77BoboM
  • 29M. OtakaM
  • 9N. GradisarF
Substitutes
  • 18M. BassamG
  • 5N. Ragab
  • 8A. MagdyM
  • 32F. El HenawyM
  • 66M. El MaghrabyD
  • 17A. El SoliaM
  • 22K. Al NabrisF
  • 25E. S. Shika M.F
  • 19A. MukkaF
Coach: Ali Maher
National Bank of Egypt 4-4-2
  • 1Ahmed SobhiG
  • 13ShefoD
  • 6M. El Gazzar
  • 33D. Cyril
  • 12A. MetebD
  • 30Y. AnnorM
  • 14A. HamdiM
  • 25BencharkiM
  • 9O. FaisalM
  • 21A. Madbouli
  • 29A. RayanF
Substitutes
  • 27A. El BaloutiG
  • 7Hisham SalehD
  • 20A. MedhatD
  • 8R. El MetwalyM
  • 17M. NaserM
  • 19S. BouchamaM
  • 10S. AbdallahF
  • 23OufaF
  • 11M. Shalaby
Coach: Ayman El Ramadi

Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt

Ceramica Cleopatra

Premier League

  • W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026
  • W2-0Future FC2 September 2026

National Bank of Egypt

Premier League

  • W3-1Ghazl El Mehalla7 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Ceramica Cleopatra7502137+615
8National Bank of Egypt832399011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt

  • 5 March 2026Ceramica Cleopatra 2–2 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
  • 12 June 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 National Bank of EgyptLeague Cup
  • 1 May 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–4 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
  • 26 December 2024National Bank of Egypt 1–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 11 December 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 0–5 National Bank of EgyptLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and National Bank of Egypt

Ceramica Cleopatra

GoalsAssists

  • Mohamed Reda22
  • Ahmed Belhadji22

National Bank of Egypt

GoalsAssists

  • S. Bouchama20

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ceramica Cleopatra beat National Bank of Egypt 2–0. The model had made a win for Ceramica Cleopatra its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Bobo 49' for Ceramica Cleopatra, K. Amr 65' for Ceramica Cleopatra. On expected goals it finished 0.44–0.70.

How the call on Ceramica Cleopatra v National Bank of Egypt has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Ceramica Cleopatra's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Ceramica Cleopatra win48%▲ +7
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. National Bank of Egypt win25%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.