Ceramica Cleopatra
vs
National Bank of Egypt
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 National Bank of Egypt.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Ceramica Cleopatra, 27% draw, 24% National Bank of Egypt — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra 2.01, National Bank of Egypt 1.08.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ceramica Cleopatra at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
- W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
- W3-1away to Al Ittihad Alexandria28 August 2026
- L1-2Olympic El Qanah23 August 2026
National Bank of Egypt
- W3-1Ghazl El Mehalla7 September 2026
- W1-0away to Asyut Petrol31 August 2026
- L0-3Zamalek SC26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Abu Qair Semad21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 10 | National Bank of Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and National Bank of Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
- Mohamed Reda2 goals2 assists
- Ahmed Belhadji2 goals2 assists
National Bank of Egypt
- Osama Faisal2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
The two sides
Ceramica Cleopatra carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.3 for National Bank of Egypt. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.01 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.08 for National Bank of Egypt. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Ceramica Cleopatra rate 0.69 in attack and 1.49 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; National Bank of Egypt rate 0.60 and 1.79.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for Ceramica Cleopatra against 1.08 for National Bank of Egypt. Ceramica Cleopatra's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.79 for National Bank of Egypt.