15 September 2026, 00:15 UTC

Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Instituto Cordoba, 27% draw, 20% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Instituto Cordoba at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
Tomas Gonzalez
35'
🔁R. Lozanoout: G. Gonzalez
39'
Alejandro Cabrera
Gustavo Abregú
48'
⚽G. Cerato
49'
•Giuliano Cerato
51'
🔁F. R. Alarconout: A. Massaccesi
53'
Giuliano Cerato
57'
Matías Tissera
63'
🔁J. Lazaroout: J. E. Cordoba Mosquera
68'
🔁M. Tisseraout: N. Guerra
68'
⚽L. Mosevichassist: G. Abregu
73'
75'
⚽M. Ledesma (OG)
77'
🔁T. Gonzalezout: S. Rosane
77'
🔁F. Rodriguezout: J. Chala
77'
🔁I. Hesarout: J. Ferreira
🔁J. Mendezout: J. Acevedo
80'
85'
🔁M. Valienteout: M. Garnerone

Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

41%Possession59%
13Shots11
4On target5
2Corners3
0.62xG0.92

Goals against chances

Instituto Cordoba2 from 0.62 xGmore than the chances were worth
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 from 0.92 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1
  • 29M. LedesmaG
  • 30J. GalvanD
  • 26L. MosevichD
  • 6F. R. AlarconD
  • 44G. CeratoM
  • 55G. AbreguM
  • 13J. MendezM
  • 3D. SosaM
  • 21J. LazaroF
  • 10A. LunaF
  • 17M. TisseraF
Substitutes
  • 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
  • 2H. De La FuenteD
  • 22A. MassaccesiD
  • 32A. BravoD
  • 19L. SansevieroF
  • 23A. MeliD
  • 8J. AcevedoM
  • 14W. VieraM
  • 9F. SuarezF
Coach: Diego Flores
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2
  • 1L. BrueraG
  • 6J. AntoniniD
  • 2G. MaffiniD
  • 31M. ValentiD
  • 5A. CabreraM
  • 45R. LozanoM
  • 10T. GonzalezM
  • 17G. AlanisM
  • 23F. RodriguezM
  • 22M. ValienteF
  • 77I. HesarF
Substitutes
  • 43A. LastraG
  • 14G. GonzalezD
  • 3L. BanosD
  • 28F. CobosD
  • 29A. QuirogaD
  • 8S. RosaneM
  • 11M. GarneroneF
  • 99J. ChalaM
  • 9J. FerreiraF
Coach: Ruben Forestello

Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Instituto Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Union Santa Fe8 September 2026
  • W1-0San Lorenzo1 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago16 August 2026
  • W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza9 August 2026

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
  • D0-0San Lorenzo21 August 2026
  • L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Instituto Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Instituto Cordoba kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Instituto Cordoba had two goals or fewer.
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Instituto Cordoba1410222110+1132
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto14239919-109

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  • 5 May 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 February 2022Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–1 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional

Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Instituto Cordoba

GoalsAssists

  • A. Luna73

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Instituto Cordoba beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1. The model had made a win for Instituto Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: G. Cerato 49' for Instituto Cordoba, L. Mosevich 73' for Instituto Cordoba, M. Ledesma (own goal) 75' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. On expected goals it finished 0.62–0.92.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.