Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Independiente, 22% draw, 47% Independiente Rivadavia — fair odds of 3.23, 4.55 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Rivadavia at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33R. ReyG
- 4S. AriasD
- 26K. LomonacoD
- 35J. ArrayagoD
- 22F. ZabalaD
- 23I. MarconeM
- 7S. MontielM
- 16M. Perez CurciM
- 14L. MillanM
- 24J. PalaisM
- 9G. AvalosF
- 77S. MeleG
- 29L. GodoyD
- 2F. CalderonD
- 13J. FedorcoD
- 8M. MezaF
- 20F. CruzM
- 10L. CabralM
- 32D. MartinezM
- 28M. GutierrezF
- 30N. BolcatoG
- 2L. CostaD
- 40I. VillalbaD
- 42S. StuderD
- 36E. BonifacioM
- 5T. BottariM
- 25J. I. Florentin BobadillaM
- 3J. M. ElordiM
- 10M. FernandezF
- 9A. ArceF
- 17M. SalasF
- 21E. F. Gomez RigaG
- 28A. VigoD
- 13A. OsellaD
- 8L. BuccaM
- 34S. MoreyraM
- 11G. RiosM
- 77L. SequeiraM
- 32K. A. VazquezM
- 7V. RamisF
Form going into Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Lanus17 August 2026
- L0-1Platense9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield3 August 2026
- W1-0Newell's Old Boys31 July 2026
- W2-0away to Estudiantes La Plata26 July 2026
Independiente Rivadavia
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Belgrano Cordoba15 August 2026
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8 August 2026
- L1-2away to Sarmiento Junin3 August 2026
- W2-1Huracan30 July 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman26 July 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Independiente had two goals or fewer.
- Independiente Rivadavia conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia
- 21 February 2026Independiente Rivadavia 3–2 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 May 2025Independiente 1–0 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 July 2024Independiente Rivadavia 1–0 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 January 2024Independiente Rivadavia 0–1 IndependienteCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 3 March 2014Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 IndependientePrimera Nacional
- 1 September 2013Independiente 0–0 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Independiente and Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente
GoalsAssists
- G. Ávalos115
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- J. Florentín91
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente and Independiente Rivadavia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Independiente Rivadavia at 47% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.88–0.68.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.