Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 28% draw, 35% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 2Gonzalo MaffiniD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 5Alejandro CabreraM
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 10Tomas GonzalezM
- 17Gabriel AlanísM
- 23Fernando RodríguezM
- 22Mauro ValienteF
- 77Ibrahim HesarF
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 6Juan AntoniniD
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 28Facundo CobosD
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 99Juan ChalaM
- 27Juan GarroF
- 40Francesco Lo CelsoM
- 25José DevecchiG
- 32Ezequiel HerreraD
- 19Emiliano AmorD
- 2Danilo ArboledaD
- 3Teo Rodríguez PaganoD
- 22Juan ÁlvarezM
- 5Ignacio PerruzziM
- 24Nicolás TripichioM
- 11Matias RealiM
- 9Alexis CuelloF
- 29Rodrigo AuzmendiF
- 20Facundo AltamiranoG
- 14Agustin LadstatterF
- 35Alejo CordobaD
- 6Mathias de RitisD
- 42Franco LorenzonD
- 16Guzmán CorujoD
- 13Juan RattalinoM
- 15Mauricio CardilloM
- 27Martín RioM
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026
- D0-0Banfield1 August 2026
- L0-3away to Argentinos Juniors29 July 2026
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
- L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026
What these results say
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for San Lorenzo had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
- 22 February 2026San Lorenzo 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
San Lorenzo
GoalsAssists
- R. Auzmendi72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and San Lorenzo drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 37% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.27–0.02.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.