Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Before kick-off the model made it 88% Independiente Rivadavia, 8% draw, 4% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 1.14, 12.50 and 25.00.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Rivadavia at 88%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 13Alejo OsellaD
- 2Leonard CostaD
- 42Sheyko StuderD
- 3Juan Manuel ElordiD
- 11Gonzalo RíosM
- 5Tomás BottariM
- 10Matías FernándezM
- 25José FlorentínM
- 9Alex ArceF
- 43Fabrizio SartoriF
- 19Rodrigo AtencioF
- 17Maximiliano SalasF
- 36Ezequiel BonifacioD
- 8Leonel BuccaM
- 32Kevin VázquezM
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 40Iván VillalbaD
- 20Alessandro RiepM
- 23Luis DíazF
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 2Gonzalo MaffiniD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 19Nicolás TalponeM
- 10Tomas GonzalezM
- 17Gabriel AlanísM
- 16Yeison MorenoF
- 27Juan GarroF
- 32Mateo BajamichF
- 77Ibrahim HesarM
- 18Joaquín RiveroF
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 8Siro RosaneM
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 23Fernando RodríguezD
- 28Facundo CobosD
Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independiente Rivadavia
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Sarmiento Junin3 August 2026
- W2-1Huracan30 July 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman26 July 2026
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Banfield1 August 2026
- L0-3away to Argentinos Juniors29 July 2026
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- 10 February 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 September 2022Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4–1 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
- 22 February 2020Independiente Rivadavia 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
- 1 September 2019Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3–1 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
The full Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record →
Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- J. Florentín91
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente Rivadavia beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1. The model had made a win for Independiente Rivadavia its most likely outcome, at 88%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: A. Arce (penalty) 71' for Independiente Rivadavia, A. Arce 80' for Independiente Rivadavia, G. Alanis 88' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. On expected goals it finished 2.42–0.53.