Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Deportivo Riestra, 29% draw, 33% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Riestra at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La Plata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1I. ArceG
- 15N. SansotreD
- 24F. MinoD
- 22C. PazD
- 2C. QuintanaD
- 5P. RamirezD
- 10B. SanchezM
- 8M. CelizM
- 14P. MonjeM
- 7A. AlonsoM
- 11A. DiazF
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 3E. TovoD
- 27J. GoitiaD
- 36M. BracamonteD
- 35A. StringaF
- 6I. GariglioD
- 21T. GonzalezF
- 40G. ObredorM
- 9N. BenegasF
- 1F. IacovichG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 35V. PieraniD
- 4S. NunezD
- 26R. Funes MoriD
- 36J. PereyraD
- 11F. FariasM
- 8Gabriel NevesM
- 7J. SosaM
- 18E. CetreF
- 19A. GaichF
- 12R. BorzoneG
- 28B. AguirreF
- 20E. MezaD
- 24T. PalaciosD
- 27L. AlarioF
- 22A. CastroM
- 21L. PioviM
- 10T. PalaciosM
- 52B. KociubinskiM
Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La Plata
Deportivo Riestra
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Barracas Central2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia29 July 2026
- W3-0Boca Juniors26 July 2026
Estudiantes La Plata
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Boca Juniors5 August 2026
- W3-0Defensa Y Justicia1 August 2026
- L0-2Independiente26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La Plata
- 9 February 2026Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 May 2024Estudiantes La Plata 2–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Deportivo Riestra beat Estudiantes La Plata 2–0. The model had made a win for Deportivo Riestra its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Celiz (penalty) 12' for Deportivo Riestra, A. Alonso 73' for Deportivo Riestra. On expected goals it finished 1.80–0.21.