27 September 2026, 01:20 UTC

Junior vs Independiente Medellin Primera A prediction & result

Barranquilla
Referee: Jhon Ospina
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Junior 2-0 Independiente Medellin.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Junior, 28% draw, 30% Independiente Medellin — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Junior at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
•Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
17'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
26'
🔁Halam Stiven Loboa Diazout: Baldomero Perlaza
26'
🔁Jeison Medinaout: Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
42'
Agustín Martegani
🔁Bryan Castrillónout: Jannenson Sarmiento
45'
Jermein Pena
58'
🔁Francisco Fydriszewskiout: Harold Rivera
63'
🔁Guillermo Celisout: Guillermo Paiva
63'
66'
🔁Agustín Marteganiout: Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez
66'
🔁John Montanoout: Diego Moreno
•Guillermo Paiva
72'
72'
Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargo
⚽Teófilo Gutiérrez (pen)
75'
🔁Teófilo Gutiérrezout: Yimmi Chará
77'
77'
🔁Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargoout: Luis Escorcia
⚽Hayen Palacios (OG)
79'
🔁Jermein Penaout: Daniel Socarras
84'
🔁Mauro Silveiraout: Jefferson Martínez
90+2'
90+5'
Hayen Palacios
90+7'
🔁Didier Morenoout: Yony González

Match stats — Junior vs Independiente Medellin

64%Possession36%
21Shots9
9On target4
2Corners6

Line-ups

Junior 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. SilveiraG
  • 98J. PeñaD
  • 5D. RiveraD
  • 23P. OrtízD
  • 26Y. SúarezD
  • 80F. ÁngelM
  • 25D. CaicedoM
  • 19F. FydriszewskiM
  • 28G. CelisM
  • 88B. CastrillónM
  • 29T. GutiérrezF
Substitutes
  • 77C. BarriosF
  • 8Y. CharáM
  • 30J. MartínezG
  • 9G. PaivaF
  • 7H. RiveraM
  • 14J. RíosM
  • 20J. SarmientoM
  • 34Daniel SocarrasD
  • 6D. VillarrealM
Coach: S. Viera
Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
  • 25E. ChauxG
  • 30H. PalaciosD
  • 4K. MantillaD
  • 19A. SimarraD
  • 26E. MenaD
  • 34K. KlingerM
  • 16H. LoboaM
  • 6D. MorenoM
  • 20J. MontañoM
  • 21A. MarteganiF
  • 9J. MedinaF
Substitutes
  • 32C. LucumiF
  • 31D. MorenoM
  • 14B. PerlazaM
  • 11Y. GonzálezF
  • 39L. EscorciaD
  • 1S. IchazoG
  • 24N. ErazoM
  • 47Jaidinson Córdoba UrrutiaD
  • 5J. VarelaD
Coach: L. Perea

Form going into Junior vs Independiente Medellin

Junior

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1away to Fortaleza FC20 September 2026

Independiente Medellin

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Jaguares22 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Junior184772527-219
6Independiente Medellin189272825+329

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Junior vs Independiente Medellin

  • 20 March 2026Independiente Medellin 2–0 JuniorPrimera A
  • 8 December 2025Independiente Medellin 2–1 JuniorPrimera A
  • 20 November 2025Junior 1–0 Independiente MedellinPrimera A
  • 21 September 2025Independiente Medellin 2–2 JuniorPrimera A
  • 11 June 2025Independiente Medellin 1–0 JuniorPrimera A

The full Junior vs Independiente Medellin record →

Leading scorers: Junior and Independiente Medellin

Junior

GoalsAssists

  • L. Muriel163

Independiente Medellin

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Junior beat Independiente Medellin 2–0. The model had made a win for Junior its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Teófilo Gutiérrez (penalty) 75' for Junior, Hayen Palacios (own goal) 79' for Junior. Sent off: Keiner David Klinger Vasquez (Independiente Medellin) 17'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.