19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Grimsta IP, Stockholm
Full time0 – 1

Final score: IF Brommapojkarna 0-1 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% IF Brommapojkarna, 23% draw, 24% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IF Brommapojkarna at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IF Brommapojkarna0%Draw8%IFK Goteborg92%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Hjörtur Hermannsson
🔁David Issoout: Kamilcan Sever
45'
51'
⚽Alexander Simmelhack
🔁Anton Kurochkinout: Obilor Okeke
61'
🔁Kaare Barslundout: Lukas Björklund
61'
🔁Rasmus Örqvistout: Rasmus Bergvall
75'
78'
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Kolbeinn Thordarson
78'
🔁Felix Erikssonout: Emil Carl Olof Fasth
86'
🔁Sam Larssonout: Kevin Ackermann
90'
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger

Match stats — IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg

48%Possession52%
10Shots17
1On target3
7Corners8

Line-ups

IF Brommapojkarna 4-4-2
  • 1L. CavalliusG
  • 11R. ÖrqvistD
  • 2P. VagićD
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandénD
  • 9M. HansenM
  • 21S. StrandM
  • 27K. BarslundM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 20W. OdefalkF
  • 34David IssoF
Substitutes
  • 22R. BergvallD
  • 30L. BjörklundM
  • 25D. BlaževićG
  • 24W. DerbaliM
  • 13E. El KathemiD
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 14Kamilcan SeverF
  • 23J. SimpsonD
  • 32A. WahlundM
Coach: U. Kristiansson
IFK Goteborg 4-2-3-1
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 11N. ŽugeljM
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
Substitutes
  • 23K. ÞórðarsonM
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 27A. BorénF
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund

Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg

IF Brommapojkarna

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
  • W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
  • W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
  • W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026

IFK Goteborg

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Halmstad12 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Mjallby AIF7 September 2026
  • W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026

What these results say

  • IF Brommapojkarna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had three goals or more.
  • IFK Goteborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11IF Brommapojkarna2697103943-434
9IFK Goteborg2610883645-938

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg

  • 17 July 2026IFK Goteborg 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 21 September 2025IFK Goteborg 0–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 1 June 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 27 July 2024IFK Goteborg 3–4 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 29 April 2024IF Brommapojkarna 0–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg won 1–0 at IF Brommapojkarna. The model had leaned towards a win for IF Brommapojkarna at 53% and given a win for IFK Goteborg 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Alexander Simmelhack 51' for IFK Goteborg.

How the call on IF Brommapojkarna v IFK Goteborg has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 53% / 23% / 24%: the biggest move is IF Brommapojkarna's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. IF Brommapojkarna win53%▲ +7
  2. Draw23%▼ −4
  3. IFK Goteborg win24%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.