Huracan
vs
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Huracan 2-1 Racing Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Huracan, 26% draw, 27% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Huracan 2.03, Racing Club 1.25.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Huracan vs Racing Club
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Huracan at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Huracan vs Racing Club
Huracan
- D1-1away to Belgrano Cordoba4 September 2026
- D1-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 August 2026
- D0-0Deportivo Riestra23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin16 August 2026
- W2-0away to San Lorenzo9 August 2026
Racing Club
- L1-2Atletico Tucuman7 September 2026
- L1-3away to Independiente Rivadavia31 August 2026
- D1-1Boca Juniors24 August 2026
- L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Racing Club
- 3 May 2026Racing Club 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 September 2025Huracan 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 March 2025Racing Club 0–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 August 2024Huracan 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 September 2023Racing Club 3–5 HuracanCopa Argentina
- 1 April 2023Racing Club 2–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Huracan and Racing Club
Huracan
- J. Caicedo13 goals
Racing Club
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Huracan carry a model rating of 6.62 against 6.53 for Racing Club. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.03 goals for Huracan and 1.25 for Racing Club. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Huracan rate 0.82 in attack and 1.31 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Racing Club rate 0.79 and 1.52.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Huracan the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Huracan against 1.25 for Racing Club. Huracan's attack/defence rating is 0.82/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.52 for Racing Club.