Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 25% draw, 51% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 4.17, 4.00 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: GKS Katowice v Hapoel Tel Aviv, 12 Aug →
Hapoel Tel Aviv went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
GKS Katowice at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice
Line-ups
- 22A. Tzur
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 98FalcaoM
- 6A. KraevM
- 11S. TurielM
- 51O. AltmanF
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 9E. BoatengF
- 33Y. BazdogG
- 13R. BaranesG
- 7R. KorineF
- 8Y. FerberM
- 10X. SilvaF
- 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
- 18T. ArchelD
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 21S. PivenD
- 87G. KobylakG
- 6L. KlemenzD
- 4A. JedrychD
- 55P. RestaD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 19K. LukasiakM
- 68B. WolskiM
- 8B. GalanM
- 15E. MarkovicF
- 99A. ZrelakF
- 27B. NowakF
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 7M. WdowiakM
- 10M. WedrychowskiM
- 14M. Olsen
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 21J. KokosinskiF
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 23M. WasielewskiM
- 30A. CzerwinskiD
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Ludogorets30 July 2026
- W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Radomiak Radom2 August 2026
- W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
What these results say
- GKS Katowice scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- GKS Katowice conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for GKS Katowice had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and GKS Katowice in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 25 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 21 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · Ekstraklasa
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- R. Alkokin32
- E. Boateng32
- D. Dappa31
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin82
- B. Nowak78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat GKS Katowice 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for GKS Katowice at 51% and given a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Turiel 5' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, R. Alkoukin 18' for Hapoel Tel Aviv.